Miami Open: Elvina Kalieva vs Elise Mertens

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market refers on the tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Elise Mertens in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 20 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Elvina Kalieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

wta-kalieva-mertens-2026-03-20

Volume

827

24h volume

827

1w volume

827

Open interest

0

Liquidity

144.8K

Liquidity CLOB

144.8K

Start

Mar 19, 2026

End

Mar 27, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 20, 2026

Resolution source

https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Event ID

287554

Slug

wta-kalieva-mertens-2026-03-20

Markets

10

Tags

TennisSportsGames
Raw event data
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  "seriesSlug": "wta",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "gameId": 5260427,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Elise Mertens' 78% implied probability reflects her substantial edge as a top-30 veteran over 19-year-old qualifier Elvina Kalieva in this Miami Open first-round clash on hardcourts. Mertens enters with strong recent form, including a title in Pune and quarterfinal runs at Indian Wells-type events, boasting a 65% win rate on the surface this year versus Kalieva's limited WTA-level experience (world No. 296, 1-2 in main draws). No reported injuries for either, but Mertens' baseline power and serve hold advantage (85% holds in 2024) exploit Kalieva's aggressive but error-prone style from qualifying wins. Head-to-head is unplayed, yet trader consensus prices Mertens' consistency amid Kalieva's fatigue risk from three prior matches.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-19T23:00:26.517Z",
    "league": "Miami Open"
  }
}