Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 89.5% implied probability against Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission, being sentenced to prison before 2027, driven by the absence of any formal trial or conviction announcement following his January 24, 2026, probe for \"serious violations of discipline and law.\" This investigation, part of President Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign targeting People's Liberation Army leadership—including absences from the March 2026 CPPCC meeting—has led to his political sidelining but no public judicial proceedings to date. Historical patterns in elite Chinese cases show opaque Central Commission for Discipline Inspection processes often result in expulsion or disappearance without announced imprisonment, lowering odds of a pre-2027 sentencing amid limited transparency.",
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