2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors March 2026 ranking 4th or lower among the hottest on record (100% implied probability), driven by NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) Surface Temperature Analysis v4 release on April 9, 2026. The global land-ocean temperature index registered just +0.11°C above the 1951-1980 baseline—well below recent record Marches like 2024 (+1.39°C, 1st), 2023 (+1.23°C, 2nd), and 2019 (+1.17°C, 3rd)—placing it around 12th warmest. Despite the contiguous U.S. shattering its March heat record at +9.4°F above average per NOAA, offsetting cooler anomalies in the Arctic, Canada, Russia, and parts of Eurasia under ENSO-neutral conditions suppressed the global average. Final GISS quality controls are unlikely to alter the ranking significantly.",
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