Loading event…
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
Ticker
china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026
Volume
354.4K
24h volume
36.4K
1w volume
102.0K
Open interest
51.9K
Liquidity
41.2K
Liquidity CLOB
41.2K
Start
Jan 22, 2026
End
Apr 17, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 22, 2026
Event ID
177057
Slug
china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026
Markets
7
Raw event data
{
"id": "177057",
"ticker": "china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026",
"slug": "china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026",
"title": "China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?",
"description": "This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. \n\nFor the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-22T00:15:00.96052Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-22T00:15:00.960516Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-17T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 41215.0954,
"volume": 354440.68846200017,
"openInterest": 51893.416253,
"createdAt": "2026-01-20T16:48:37.89787Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T07:19:30.035491Z",
"competitive": 0.9734965562559322,
"volume24hr": 36418.30742600001,
"volume1wk": 101971.17412699999,
"volume1mo": 307701.31088999996,
"volume1yr": 354440.68846199993,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 41215.0954,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b600",
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1228428",
"question": "Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?",
"conditionId": "0x794a90ee9c1e955f6422dcbb12be6094cb0915aecf88134902a4e86501d4c5b0",
"slug": "will-china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026-be-between-3pt5-and-4pt0",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "4593.34105",
"startDate": "2026-01-22T00:13:42.303674Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. \n\nFor the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",
"volume": "68056.43668200006",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-20T16:48:40.554487Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T07:16:29.459419Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "3.5-4.0%",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b600",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 68056.43668200006,
"liquidityNum": 4593.34105,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-22",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 3682.0688320000004,
"volume1wk": 10846.649354000003,
"volume1mo": 63271.37548699999,
"volume1yr": 68056.43668199999,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"1375273504161466112706361354044646062379181764128076873716937107234224701103\", \"58566018755842256947541510032756115973387074200326753128227581401200893480611\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 3682.0688320000004,
"volume1wkClob": 10846.649354000003,
"volume1moClob": 63271.37548699999,
"volume1yrClob": 68056.43668199999,
"volumeClob": 68056.43668200006,
"liquidityClob": 4593.34105,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b600",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xce5abaeb9cdd4920b79c042fad54f06c44b5ddd015c5df02bd834ffd8023c14b",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:13:20Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8009597099244316,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0195,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestBid": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.002,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:11:57.867127Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1228429",
"question": "Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?",
"conditionId": "0xc7f8cd42502a48cc6b2b54764f4ce26b1132df329ee9cf49d7e3461bbd718b0c",
"slug": "will-china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026-be-between-4pt0-and-4pt5",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "8297.37958",
"startDate": "2026-01-22T00:13:42.557347Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. \n\nFor the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]",
"volume": "51731.994612000024",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-20T16:48:41.094511Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T07:19:00.922847Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "4.0-4.5%",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b601",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 51731.994612000024,
"liquidityNum": 8297.37958,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-22",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 4733.138733000001,
"volume1wk": 13358.487564000001,
"volume1mo": 47489.89906199998,
"volume1yr": 51731.99461199998,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"69207382600060843957166269758951871115417222923841807754143547950360154624967\", \"43454161988083323533531940704754748709736644954873123439004554395895187215527\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 4733.138733000001,
"volume1wkClob": 13358.487564000001,
"volume1moClob": 47489.89906199998,
"volume1yrClob": 51731.99461199998,
"volumeClob": 51731.994612000024,
"liquidityClob": 8297.37958,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b600",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x23c0c23f7f29263ea3e8f7243b11d7b05218ab2bae302bd85fe0b19922c6b03f",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:13:20Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8041544225779221,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.003,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.002,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.041,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestBid": 0.005,
"bestAsk": 0.008,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:11:57.870066Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1228430",
"question": "Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?",
"conditionId": "0xa31be3d7a50a814d6e77901c94fe4f8124b2717f02271bc9eaa5f9cfeb59a0e7",
"slug": "will-china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026-be-between-4pt5-and-5pt0",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3816.792",
"startDate": "2026-01-22T00:13:48.454977Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. \n\nFor the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.665\", \"0.335\"]",
"volume": "40980.41065799999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-20T16:48:41.525601Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T07:19:16.348107Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "4.5-5.0%",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b602",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 40980.41065799999,
"liquidityNum": 3816.792,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-22",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 8361.350391000002,
"volume1wk": 16950.098171999995,
"volume1mo": 32426.345054999987,
"volume1yr": 40980.410657999986,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"55149463097739665675169411046589728615538740223481516739226134636499671013991\", \"107344867154746476778407118179870056543983567337495313002540362014729502495824\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 8361.350391000002,
"volume1wkClob": 16950.098171999995,
"volume1moClob": 32426.345054999987,
"volume1yrClob": 40980.410657999986,
"volumeClob": 40980.41065799999,
"liquidityClob": 3816.792,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b600",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x3164db03ee80bf59eac3c7d34cccc76db45409e7f576a5c88b804e0702bbf26d",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:13:26Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9734965562559322,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "100140",
"conditionId": "0xa31be3d7a50a814d6e77901c94fe4f8124b2717f02271bc9eaa5f9cfeb59a0e7",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 26,
"startDate": "2026-04-14",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.03,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.42,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.03,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.415,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.155,
"lastTradePrice": 0.65,
"bestBid": 0.65,
"bestAsk": 0.68,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:11:57.872834Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1228431",
"question": "Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?",
"conditionId": "0xe8ee54512539068471b1a744cd93a016ea9788cfbdf1bcfe05a0d9b251b1a2ea",
"slug": "will-china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026-be-between-5pt0-and-5pt5",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "5008.3133",
"startDate": "2026-01-22T00:13:49.25916Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. \n\nFor the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.32\", \"0.68\"]",
"volume": "44376.176715999994",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-20T16:48:41.991156Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T07:16:11.462751Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "5.0-5.5%",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b603",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 44376.176715999994,
"liquidityNum": 5008.3133,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-22",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 7623.887581000002,
"volume1wk": 18885.621940999998,
"volume1mo": 35417.78190599999,
"volume1yr": 44376.17671599997,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"42896621969625587910912704143469993402023899604930090049435408141579030899627\", \"86432873501666483410167696810737718404693037754100526473582055879857794837254\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 7623.887581000002,
"volume1wkClob": 18885.621940999998,
"volume1moClob": 35417.78190599999,
"volume1yrClob": 44376.17671599997,
"volumeClob": 44376.176715999994,
"liquidityClob": 5008.3133,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b600",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xcd0e09171308a6f02f2b0c7584a351be4ed42f52fc182e1471b90efaf0fdf9d4",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:13:26Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9686168151879117,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "100282",
"conditionId": "0xe8ee54512539068471b1a744cd93a016ea9788cfbdf1bcfe05a0d9b251b1a2ea",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 23,
"startDate": "2026-04-14",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.02,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.41,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.035,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.345,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.205,
"lastTradePrice": 0.34,
"bestBid": 0.31,
"bestAsk": 0.33,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:11:57.874279Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1228432",
"question": "Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?",
"conditionId": "0x2af7f9be6f99094c10f8adc1597baccc2102c7945994887df25ac9af28dda7d0",
"slug": "will-china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026-be-between-5pt5-and-6pt0",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "5830.4484",
"startDate": "2026-01-22T00:13:48.201901Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. \n\nFor the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.011\", \"0.989\"]",
"volume": "80224.22204400004",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-20T16:48:42.523084Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T07:16:29.080207Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "5.5-6.0%",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b604",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 80224.22204400004,
"liquidityNum": 5830.4484,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-22",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 4088.065055999999,
"volume1wk": 19032.837996,
"volume1mo": 73042.85255700002,
"volume1yr": 80224.22204400001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"104699530954109219501690418566675868041221558691126993603061803231506329476526\", \"100225577047033977344108820462781013254901723123023928993589162501103249064756\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 4088.065055999999,
"volume1wkClob": 19032.837996,
"volume1moClob": 73042.85255700002,
"volume1yrClob": 80224.22204400001,
"volumeClob": 80224.22204400004,
"liquidityClob": 5830.4484,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b600",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xf5f7d94ecd5653a201db5615a42316e90fa651932043fddc4b0d430a7798c416",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:13:26Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8070236885663306,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0045,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.0075,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.036,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0095,
"lastTradePrice": 0.012,
"bestBid": 0.006,
"bestAsk": 0.016,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:11:57.876117Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1228433",
"question": "Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 6.0%?",
"conditionId": "0xdca0efe08e467d015081b55c9bad053fa4d5b2be76553bfbae2d0db3299ec774",
"slug": "will-china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026-be-at-least-6pt0",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3621.79213",
"startDate": "2026-01-22T00:13:50.256243Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. \n\nFor the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",
"volume": "32672.537442000008",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-20T16:48:43.228707Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T07:17:08.224584Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "6.0%+",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b605",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 32672.537442000008,
"liquidityNum": 3621.79213,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-22",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 3287.6058329999996,
"volume1wk": 6737.169100000001,
"volume1mo": 27258.340439,
"volume1yr": 32672.537441999997,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"112510383089822783410176526652156284161303580127282792532633115782626942568768\", \"11008879283209819369235140198912097518202810240279490396685854948237392384931\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 3287.6058329999996,
"volume1wkClob": 6737.169100000001,
"volume1moClob": 27258.340439,
"volume1yrClob": 32672.537441999997,
"volumeClob": 32672.537442000008,
"liquidityClob": 3621.79213,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b600",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x45a81dfae06ebb85934d00c94421bad704dadbaad2bffcd85a5f88bd8a1306fa",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:13:28Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8009597099244316,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0015,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestBid": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.002,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:11:57.877431Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1228434",
"question": "Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%?",
"conditionId": "0x944c4a7019793586261e1af89b60239907c08e889d0d30421ed1cdb721aece03",
"slug": "will-china-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026-be-less-than-3pt5",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "10471.53663",
"startDate": "2026-01-22T00:13:55.227663Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025-be-negative-mpYbadqFFIsm.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the \"Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP\" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 17, 2026.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. \n\nFor the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",
"volume": "36464.37030800002",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-20T16:48:43.755155Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T07:16:34.008776Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "<3.5%",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b606",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 36464.37030800002,
"liquidityNum": 10471.53663,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-22",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 4707.651,
"volume1wk": 16225.769999999999,
"volume1mo": 28860.17638399999,
"volume1yr": 36464.370308,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"75399100039472515274255273429740090282634873914269418417094874484439711282092\", \"1281270217898997024136373357112917422391228214779348659811556900254973932140\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 4707.651,
"volume1wkClob": 16225.769999999999,
"volume1moClob": 28860.17638399999,
"volume1yrClob": 36464.370308,
"volumeClob": 36464.37030800002,
"liquidityClob": 10471.53663,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x28b4f446aa3db5b6776800669fcb3d00cc3ed9b34128bad10a63eec08542b600",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x551c9da5e6dff6219834da808e916f6b1dad36c6904a1e356b433962edc75eee",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:13:34Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8009597099244316,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestBid": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.002,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:11:57.879042Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10894",
"ticker": "china-gdp",
"slug": "china-gdp",
"title": "China GDP",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "monthly",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"createdAt": "2026-01-15T17:14:14.40736Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T07:17:56.520648Z",
"volume24hr": 36418.30742600001,
"volume": 354440.68846200017,
"liquidity": 41215.0954,
"commentCount": 16,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "370",
"label": "GDP",
"slug": "gdp",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 22:06:40.144+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T22:06:40.159Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:18:21.396013Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102000",
"label": "Macro Indicators",
"slug": "macro-indicators",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:57:53.430333Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:42.224247Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100328",
"label": "Economy",
"slug": "economy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:18:21.302993Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "103796",
"label": "Rewards 50, 4.5, 100",
"slug": "rewards-50-4pt5-100",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-02-17T21:38:43.366956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:26:22.798531Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "china-gdp",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-22T00:11:33.757865Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability for China Q1 2026 GDP growth (y/y) in the 4.5-5.0% band, aligning with Reuters and Caixin economist polls forecasting 4.8%—a rebound from Q4 2025—bolstered by March manufacturing PMI expanding to 50.4%, its strongest in a year, and January-February industrial production surging 6.3% y/y on export strength from AI-related demand. Robust foreign trade growth of 15% y/y in Q1 offsets persistent property sector weakness, while full-year 2026 targets of 4.5-5% temper upside risks amid global tensions like the Iran conflict. Official data release looms April 16, potentially catalyzing shifts as high-frequency indicators like retail sales (up 2.8% Jan-Feb) provide mixed signals.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-14T07:05:38.882Z"
}
}- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Vol 41.0KLiq 3.8KEnd Apr 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?Vol 44.4KLiq 5.0KEnd Apr 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?Vol 80.2KLiq 5.8KEnd Apr 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?Vol 51.7KLiq 8.3KEnd Apr 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?Vol 68.1KLiq 4.6KEnd Apr 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%?Vol 36.5KLiq 10.5KEnd Apr 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 6.0%?Vol 32.7KLiq 3.6KEnd Apr 17, 2026OpenOrder book