
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-april-7-april-14
Volume
352.9K
24h volume
62.6K
1w volume
186.8K
Open interest
51.5K
Liquidity
51.7K
Liquidity CLOB
51.7K
Start
Apr 4, 2026
End
Apr 14, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 4, 2026
Resolution source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
Event ID
341745
Slug
donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-april-7-april-14
Markets
11
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"title": "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?",
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"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "11196.103990000003",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-04T04:00:00.938356Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-09T14:24:45.72851Z",
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"question": "Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?",
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"context_description": "President Donald Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 15-20 posts daily amid escalating military tensions over Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure, has driven trader consensus to price 120-139 posts at 96.3% for the April 7-14 period. Recent updates on naval obliteration (158 Iranian ships sunk), blockade enforcement, 34 ships transiting yesterday, and repeated ultimatums explain the pace, with early April 14 tallies nearing the upper 120s and limited hours remaining before resolution. This mirrors prior weeks' resolved markets. A commanding lead persists, though a late-breaking diplomatic breakthrough, counterstrike, or domestic crisis could prompt an unprecedented posting surge to push beyond 139.",
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