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Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027
Volume
411.6K
24h volume
1.3K
1w volume
9.7K
Open interest
69.8K
Liquidity
14.4K
Liquidity CLOB
14.4K
Start
Dec 5, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 5, 2025
Event ID
98133
Slug
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027
Markets
1
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 69% probability that Elon Musk reaches trillionaire status before 2027, driven primarily by SpaceX's confidential IPO filing last week targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially raising up to $80 billion—with Musk holding a 43% stake that could add hundreds of billions to his current $817 billion net worth per Forbes. This follows February's SpaceX-xAI merger, valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion and integrating AI capabilities like Grok into Starlink and rocket operations, bolstering competitive positioning in space and artificial intelligence. Tesla's recent stock dip to around $355 amid high 183x 2026 earnings multiples tempers gains from its $1.35 trillion market cap, where Musk owns about 15%. Key catalysts ahead include SpaceX IPO pricing in June and Starlink subscriber milestones, though market volatility or regulatory hurdles could delay the surge.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:19:45.207Z"
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}