Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027

Volume

411.7K

24h volume

1.3K

1w volume

9.7K

Open interest

69.8K

Liquidity

14.4K

Liquidity CLOB

14.4K

Start

Dec 5, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 5, 2025

Event ID

98133

Slug

elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68% implied probability to Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status before 2027, driven primarily by SpaceX's blockbuster merger with xAI at a combined $1.25 trillion valuation in February 2026, catapulting Musk's stake—now his largest asset worth over $500 billion—to unprecedented levels. Recent reports of SpaceX filing for a potential IPO targeting $1.75 trillion further fuel optimism, as a successful public listing could instantly propel his net worth past $1 trillion amid Starlink's global expansion and reusable rocket milestones. Tesla's Q1 2026 reclaim of EV market leadership adds momentum, though regulatory hurdles for autonomous driving and AI deployment pose risks; traders eye IPO timelines as the key near-term catalyst.",
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