Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

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    "context_description": "Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's explicit rejection of early or snap elections on April 6, stating the government controls its agenda without artificial diversions, reinforces trader consensus at 83.5% against his departure by year-end, as his constitutional term runs until 2028. Despite economic pressures like the lira's record lows and opposition calls for change amid Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu's ongoing political trial, no verified health issues or institutional pressures have emerged to prompt resignation or removal. Recent parliamentary discussions in February on potential constitutional amendments to enable another run underscore his enduring grip on power, with no scheduled votes or crises altering the outlook before December 31.",
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