Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus prices \"No\" at 94.8% for Greece-Turkey military engagement by June 30, driven by sustained diplomatic de-escalation signals amid longstanding Aegean maritime disputes and island fortifications. February's Ankara summit between Prime Minister Mitsotakis and President Erdoğan yielded agreements on cooperation, reinforcing dialogue as both NATO allies navigate broader regional strains from the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict. Recent Greek Patriot deployments on April 6 and F-16 enhancements prompted Turkish media protests over perceived encirclement, but elicited no military retaliation or airspace violations escalating to direct clashes. Absent a major provocation like intensified naval standoffs or casus belli invocation, historical restraint and alliance pressures maintain low odds of kinetic conflict before the deadline.",
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