Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

{
  "id": "117601",
  "ticker": "greece-x-turkey-military-engagement-by-june-30",
  "slug": "greece-x-turkey-military-engagement-by-june-30",
  "title": "Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Greece and Turkey by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military engagement\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Greek and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. \n\nMissiles or drone strikes that are intercepted will not qualify, regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution (although surface-to-air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-12-22T20:14:19.768927Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-12-22T20:14:19.768924Z",
  "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/greece-x-turkey-military-engagement-by-june-30-PlVe8jDDLl7c.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/greece-x-turkey-military-engagement-by-june-30-PlVe8jDDLl7c.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 17717.74435,
  "volume": 485539.59643800056,
  "openInterest": 30797.872237,
  "createdAt": "2025-12-22T16:50:37.310096Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-13T19:57:37.015513Z",
  "competitive": 0.8319119770575315,
  "volume24hr": 140.75475,
  "volume1wk": 12285.530928,
  "volume1mo": 33946.379565,
  "volume1yr": 485539.5964380002,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 17717.74435,
  "commentCount": 10,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "994894",
      "question": "Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?",
      "conditionId": "0x707ab64115b0ca83b65bc5137aaa947a11f56885ed82ffcedc3c5b70e1210151",
      "slug": "greece-x-turkey-military-engagement-by-june-30",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "17692.91949",
      "startDate": "2025-12-22T20:04:25.672064Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/greece-x-turkey-military-engagement-by-june-30-PlVe8jDDLl7c.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/greece-x-turkey-military-engagement-by-june-30-PlVe8jDDLl7c.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Greece and Turkey by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military engagement\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Greek and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. \n\nMissiles or drone strikes that are intercepted will not qualify, regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution (although surface-to-air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0505\", \"0.9495\"]",
      "volume": "485539.59643800056",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-22T16:50:38.408414Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-13T20:00:14.545309Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x42300ccc5319ea86ff195d92f91b736aa5237db164918009fa48d9fbd6bfbcd5",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 485539.59643800056,
      "liquidityNum": 17692.91949,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-22",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 140.75475,
      "volume1wk": 12285.530928,
      "volume1mo": 33946.379565,
      "volume1yr": 485539.5964380002,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"112716095478573688614552520674907154024762970545392203808286586040914264110986\", \"99492040774857928633936621523568412806508692821656967828745027109129897886735\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 140.75475,
      "volume1wkClob": 12285.530928,
      "volume1moClob": 33946.379565,
      "volume1yrClob": 485539.5964380002,
      "volumeClob": 485539.59643800056,
      "liquidityClob": 17692.91949,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-22T20:04:03Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8319119770575315,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "51254",
          "conditionId": "0x707ab64115b0ca83b65bc5137aaa947a11f56885ed82ffcedc3c5b70e1210151",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 3,
          "startDate": "2025-12-23",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.007,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0025,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.001,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.012,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.047,
      "bestBid": 0.047,
      "bestAsk": 0.054,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-22T20:03:34.424714Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1381",
      "label": "Greece",
      "slug": "greece",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2024-02-21 00:25:20.989+00",
      "createdAt": "2024-02-21T00:25:20.995Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-20T20:00:25.623001Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.420693Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101270",
      "label": "Turkey",
      "slug": "turkey",
      "createdAt": "2024-11-15T21:39:26.782291Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:46.718488Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus reflects 95% implied probability of no military engagement between Greece and Turkey by June 30, driven by sustained diplomatic de-escalation efforts amid longstanding Aegean maritime disputes, Cyprus tensions, and airspace violations. Greek Prime Minister Mitsotakis and Turkish President Erdogan met in Ankara in February 2026, reinforcing commitments to dialogue and calm relations, following foreign ministers' talks in January. Despite March reports of strained ties over Cyprus amid the Iran conflict and U.S. military shifts toward Greece, no verifiable escalations like airstrikes or clashes have occurred in the past 30 days. NATO alliance constraints and mutual economic interests deter outright conflict, though rhetorical provocations persist; a sudden territorial incident could shift odds.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-13T19:18:42.090Z"
  }
}