Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus prices \"No\" at 94.8% for Greece-Turkey military engagement by June 30, reflecting the absence of direct clashes despite persistent Aegean disputes over demilitarized islands, maritime boundaries, and research activities. Turkey's March 12 accusations that Greece violates treaties, coupled with Athens' early March Patriot battery deployment to an Aegean island, fueled rhetorical escalation but prompted no kinetic actions like airstrikes or naval confrontations. NATO membership enforces restraint, bolstered by February Ankara summit conciliatory tones, January Positive Agenda talks, and U.S. diplomatic pushes for de-escalation. With no troop mobilizations or incursions in the past 30 days, traders view significant barriers to conflict, though unexpected incidents could shift odds before resolution.",
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