
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Ticker
gta-vi-released-before-june-2026
Volume
13.2M
24h volume
43.5K
1w volume
255.6K
Open interest
177.1K
Liquidity
64.7K
Liquidity CLOB
64.7K
Start
May 2, 2025
End
May 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
May 2, 2025
Event ID
23792
Slug
gta-vi-released-before-june-2026
Markets
1
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"slug": "gta-vi-released-before-june-2026",
"title": "GTA VI released before June 2026?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.",
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"tags": [
{
"id": "596",
"label": "Culture",
"slug": "pop-culture",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:06.806106Z",
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{
"id": "102109",
"label": "GTA VI",
"slug": "gta-vi",
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:58.598479Z",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors \"No\" at 98.9% implied probability for GTA VI releasing before June 2026, driven by Rockstar Games' official November 6, 2025, announcement postponing the launch to November 19, 2026, for PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S—six months beyond the prior May 26 target. Take-Two Interactive's February 2026 earnings call reaffirmed this date amid ongoing polish, with marketing slated for summer 2026, underscoring Rockstar's perfectionist track record seen in past delays for titles like GTA V. Realistic upsets remain slim: an improbable early digital drop or certification breakthrough accelerating certification, though historical patterns and development scale make such shifts highly unlikely as the November window firms up.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T01:46:15.021Z"
}
}