GTA VI released before June 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

Ticker

gta-vi-released-before-june-2026

Volume

13.2M

24h volume

22.9K

1w volume

264.7K

Open interest

177.1K

Liquidity

49.5K

Liquidity CLOB

49.5K

Start

May 2, 2025

End

May 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

May 2, 2025

Event ID

23792

Slug

gta-vi-released-before-june-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "gta-vi-released-before-june-2026",
  "title": "GTA VI released before June 2026?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.",
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      "question": "GTA VI released before June 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"release\" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.",
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      "label": "Culture",
      "slug": "pop-culture",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
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    {
      "id": "102109",
      "label": "GTA VI",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors \"No\" for GTA VI releasing before June 2026, with 98.7% implied probability reflecting Rockstar Games' official November 19, 2026 launch date for PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S—firmly announced after sequential delays from fall 2025 to May 2026 and beyond. This positioning stems from Take-Two Interactive's fiscal commitments and Rockstar's development rigor, prioritizing polish over rushed rollout amid high anticipation fueled by Trailer 2's massive views. Recent developer statements dismissing further delay rumors underscore stability, with no pre-release indicators like certification or marketing blitz in sight just two months from the market cutoff. Realistic upsets—a shock early-access drop or accelerated certification—remain improbable given historical patterns and the title's unprecedented scope.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:31:24.396Z"
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