
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Ticker
gta-vi-released-before-june-2026
Volume
13.2M
24h volume
22.9K
1w volume
264.7K
Open interest
177.1K
Liquidity
49.5K
Liquidity CLOB
49.5K
Start
May 2, 2025
End
May 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
May 2, 2025
Event ID
23792
Slug
gta-vi-released-before-june-2026
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors \"No\" for GTA VI releasing before June 2026, with 98.7% implied probability reflecting Rockstar Games' official November 19, 2026 launch date for PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S—firmly announced after sequential delays from fall 2025 to May 2026 and beyond. This positioning stems from Take-Two Interactive's fiscal commitments and Rockstar's development rigor, prioritizing polish over rushed rollout amid high anticipation fueled by Trailer 2's massive views. Recent developer statements dismissing further delay rumors underscore stability, with no pre-release indicators like certification or marketing blitz in sight just two months from the market cutoff. Realistic upsets—a shock early-access drop or accelerated certification—remain improbable given historical patterns and the title's unprecedented scope.",
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}- GTA VI released before June 2026?Vol 13.2MLiq 49.4KEnd May 31, 2026OpenOrder book