
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-13-2026
Volume
337.5K
24h volume
287.0K
1w volume
337.5K
Open interest
144.7K
Liquidity
84.0K
Liquidity CLOB
84.0K
Start
Apr 9, 2026
End
Apr 13, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 9, 2026
Event ID
359542
Slug
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-13-2026
Markets
11
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-13-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
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"marketMakerAddress": "",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 13?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 13?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 13?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 13?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 13?",
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"slug": "hong-kong-daily-weather",
"title": "Hong Kong Daily Weather",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 29°C in Hong Kong today, April 13, 2026, with 99.8% implied probability, driven by Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations at 11:10 HKT showing 28.3°C maximum so far at the Observatory station amid sunny periods and a southerly airstream fostering warm, humid conditions (73% relative humidity). Regional automatic weather stations confirm urban-area peaks near 29°C at sites like Kowloon City and Sha Tin, aligning with HKO's latest forecast of 26–30°C daytime highs under light winds and minimal cloud cover. This reflects model consensus for above-normal April temperatures, consistent with seasonal outlooks. Realistic challenges include afternoon sea breezes capping at 28°C or prolonged sunshine pushing select stations to 30°C+, with hourly HKO updates through evening providing final clarity.",
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