Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?

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    {
      "id": "1924552",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 13?",
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    {
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    {
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  "eventDate": "2026-04-13",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 17°C high in Shanghai today at 99.5% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS, which project persistent overcast skies and light rain capping daytime heating. Current observations confirm midday temperatures stalled near 17°C under thick cloud cover from a lingering frontal system with northerly flow, echoing April 11's rainy 19°C maximum amid similar moist conditions—cooler than the typical April average of 19°C. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing for brief solar insolation pushing to 18°C, though low cloud persistence and weak winds make this unlikely; monitor hourly updates from official Shanghai stations like Xujiahui through sunset around 6:20 PM.",
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