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Highest temperature in Toronto on April 12?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-april-12-2026
Volume
380.4K
24h volume
306.1K
1w volume
380.4K
Open interest
79.1K
Liquidity
607.5K
Liquidity CLOB
607.5K
Start
Apr 8, 2026
End
Apr 12, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 8, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ
Event ID
356064
Slug
highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-april-12-2026
Markets
11
Raw event data
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-toronto-on-april-12-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Toronto on April 12?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on April 12?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 12?",
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"endDate": "2026-04-12T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 12?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1914837",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 12?",
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"context_description": "Official meteorological observations from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport (CYYZ) confirm the highest temperature on April 12, 2026, reached 7°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome amid cloudy skies, periods of light rain, and cool northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating below pre-event forecasts of 8-9°C. Persistent overcast conditions limited solar insolation, while a passing upper-level low maintained chilly air masses typical of early spring variability in southern Ontario. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a post-audit data correction revealing a higher peak from an overlooked hourly reading or sensor calibration adjustment—remain highly improbable given the stability of quality-controlled records, with final Wunderground verification pending resolution.",
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}- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 12?Vol 28.8KLiq 62.5KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 12?Vol 23.9KLiq 68.0KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on April 12?Vol 23.8KLiq 75.4KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 12?Vol 20.0KLiq 72.3KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 12?Vol 15.9KLiq 74.1KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 12?Vol 15.1KLiq 63.0KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 12?Vol 14.7KLiq 59.9KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 12?Vol 14.5KLiq 74.0KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 12?Vol 12.2KLiq 58.9KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 12?Vol 186.9KLiq —End Apr 12, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on April 12?Vol 24.8KLiq —End Apr 12, 2026Closed