Iran Nuke before 2027?

{
  "id": "79222",
  "ticker": "iran-nuke-before-2027",
  "slug": "iran-nuke-before-2027",
  "title": "Iran Nuke before 2027?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-11-13T23:20:41.576407Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-11-13T23:20:41.576403Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-nuke-in-2025-3-0yDLZSfMow.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-nuke-in-2025-3-0yDLZSfMow.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 83514.5346,
  "volume": 476223.0229710045,
  "openInterest": 232684.8683,
  "createdAt": "2025-11-11T22:40:05.986411Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-06T01:20:58.494653Z",
  "competitive": 0.8530785472072341,
  "volume24hr": 1297.86579,
  "volume1wk": 29331.66343900001,
  "volume1mo": 416375.0706509903,
  "volume1yr": 476223.02297099,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 83514.5346,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "677396",
      "question": "Iran Nuke before 2027?",
      "conditionId": "0x8bdeac60c92d3bc494792fd334ca181b0cf70355f23dca4098d558280b554c81",
      "slug": "iran-nuke-before-2027",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "86042.2916",
      "startDate": "2025-11-13T23:10:38.346766Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-nuke-in-2025-3-0yDLZSfMow.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-nuke-in-2025-3-0yDLZSfMow.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",
      "volume": "476223.0229710045",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-11-11T22:40:07.399679Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-06T01:23:34.972402Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x64e0b09d3971269bbdb782e06a29a9af029d7a740f6308466d1034572856b455",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 476223.0229710045,
      "liquidityNum": 86042.2916,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 1297.86579,
      "volume1wk": 29331.66343900001,
      "volume1mo": 416375.0706509903,
      "volume1yr": 476223.02297099,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"55302250828823180276187438149698246226978412434312478767847394628702439947936\", \"5697221075711858699852624943573291720358422810802415883854283024034226588211\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 1297.86579,
      "volume1wkClob": 29331.66343900001,
      "volume1moClob": 416375.0706509903,
      "volume1yrClob": 476223.02297099,
      "volumeClob": 476223.0229710045,
      "liquidityClob": 86042.2916,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T23:10:16Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8530785472072341,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "84470",
          "conditionId": "0x8bdeac60c92d3bc494792fd334ca181b0cf70355f23dca4098d558280b554c81",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 10,
          "startDate": "2026-02-22",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 200,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.03,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.045,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.09,
      "bestBid": 0.08,
      "bestAsk": 0.09,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T22:50:34.146697Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10649",
      "ticker": "iran-nuke",
      "slug": "iran-nuke",
      "title": "Iran Nuke ",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "annual",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "featured": false,
      "restricted": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-11-11T22:38:19.696949Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-06T01:20:51.792387Z",
      "volume24hr": 1297.86579,
      "volume": 476223.0229710045,
      "liquidity": 83514.5346,
      "commentCount": 116,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.420693Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "78",
      "label": "Iran",
      "slug": "iran",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.117508Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "154",
      "label": "Middle East",
      "slug": "middle-east",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.104846Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1289",
      "label": "Nuclear",
      "slug": "nuclear",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2024-02-07 22:16:09.803+00",
      "createdAt": "2024-02-07T22:16:09.819Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:24.327913Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "iran-nuke",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "US-Israel airstrikes since late February 2026, under Operation Epic Fury, have targeted Iran's key nuclear facilities, underground enrichment sites, and ballistic missile production, severely degrading its ability to produce weapons-grade material before 2027. IAEA reports from February confirm Iran's pre-strike stockpile of 440 kg of 60% enriched uranium—near breakout levels—but note halted verification at damaged sites and no resumption of proliferation-sensitive activities. Official US assessments emphasize permanent disablement of the program amid the air campaign, with no radiation leaks signaling effective strikes. Trader consensus at 91.5% \"No\" reflects this military disruption, though regime survival pressures or hidden stockpiles pose tail risks ahead of potential escalation or ceasefire talks.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T01:05:38.672Z"
  }
}