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Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025
Volume
1.7M
24h volume
543
1w volume
25.3K
Open interest
40.1K
Liquidity
37.8K
Liquidity CLOB
37.8K
Start
Jun 2, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jun 2, 2025
Event ID
25815
Slug
israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025
Markets
3
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"context_description": "Trader consensus prices low odds for Israel-Syria diplomatic normalization, with the leading outcome—by December 31, 2026—at 16%, driven by recent escalations overriding earlier post-Assad optimism. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated Israel rejected normalization \"at the last minute\" after productive talks, amid Israeli airstrikes on southern Syrian government sites responding to attacks on Druze civilians in Suweida province, where Israel supports armed separatists. Jerusalem issued zero-tolerance warnings to Damascus over border security threats, while monitoring Syrian army movements. January U.S.-facilitated meetings hinted at Abraham Accords potential, but persistent frictions, including Israeli ministerial calls to target al-Sharaa, underscore major barriers without de-escalation signals or security pacts.",
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