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Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025
Volume
1.8M
24h volume
782
1w volume
77.6K
Open interest
41.4K
Liquidity
30.8K
Liquidity CLOB
30.8K
Start
Jun 2, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jun 2, 2025
Event ID
25815
Slug
israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025
Markets
3
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"context_description": "Syria's interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated on March 31, 2026, during a UK visit that his government pursued indirect and direct negotiations with Israel for normalization, reaching positive points before Israel abruptly changed position at the last minute. This follows US-brokered talks in January 2026 establishing a de-escalation mechanism and intelligence-sharing framework, yet progress stalled amid Israeli airstrikes on Syrian infrastructure, patrols in southern border areas like Quneitra, and refusal to withdraw from post-Assad buffer zone expansions beyond the 1974 disengagement agreement lines. Ongoing US mediation seeks a security pact with demilitarization, but territorial disputes, Druze tensions in Suweida, and mutual accusations sustain military frictions, tempering expectations for diplomatic ties before December 31, 2026.",
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