
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025
Volume
1.7M
24h volume
73
1w volume
24.2K
Open interest
40.1K
Liquidity
39.7K
Liquidity CLOB
39.7K
Start
Jun 2, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jun 2, 2025
Event ID
25815
Slug
israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025
Markets
3
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa disclosed last week during a UK visit that Damascus pursued direct and indirect negotiations with Israel for diplomatic normalization since ousting Bashar al-Assad, reaching key agreements before Israel reportedly backed out at the last minute. This revelation underscores stalled U.S.-brokered talks launched in January, which initially yielded commitments to intelligence sharing, military de-escalation mechanisms, and civilian cooperation in medicine, energy, and agriculture, but faltered over border security, Golan Heights status, and Israeli airstrikes—including one on March 20 targeting southern Syrian infrastructure amid Druze clashes. Syria's post-transition fragility, ongoing regional conflicts like the Iran war (where Damascus pledges neutrality barring aggression), and mutual distrust keep full normalization improbable, with no scheduled summits on the horizon.",
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