Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025

Volume

1.7M

24h volume

73

1w volume

24.2K

Open interest

40.1K

Liquidity

39.7K

Liquidity CLOB

39.7K

Start

Jun 2, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jun 2, 2025

Event ID

25815

Slug

israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025

Markets

3

Raw event data
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    "context_description": "Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa disclosed last week during a UK visit that Damascus pursued direct and indirect negotiations with Israel for diplomatic normalization since ousting Bashar al-Assad, reaching key agreements before Israel reportedly backed out at the last minute. This revelation underscores stalled U.S.-brokered talks launched in January, which initially yielded commitments to intelligence sharing, military de-escalation mechanisms, and civilian cooperation in medicine, energy, and agriculture, but faltered over border security, Golan Heights status, and Israeli airstrikes—including one on March 20 targeting southern Syrian infrastructure amid Druze clashes. Syria's post-transition fragility, ongoing regional conflicts like the Iran war (where Damascus pledges neutrality barring aggression), and mutual distrust keep full normalization improbable, with no scheduled summits on the horizon.",
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