
Prediction market · Polymarket
On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381
Volume
315.5K
1w volume
47.5K
Open interest
6.4K
Liquidity
26.3K
Liquidity CLOB
26.3K
Start
Oct 11, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 11, 2025
Event ID
57727
Slug
lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381
Markets
5
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"context_description": "Sébastien Lecornu continues serving as France's Prime Minister, a position he has held since his September 2025 appointment and October reappointment amid chronic political instability from the hung parliament following 2024 snap elections. Trader sentiment reflects his minority government's recent resilience, highlighted by better-than-expected 2025 public deficit results on March 27 and April 4 announcements of crisis loans for firms facing fuel-price surges potentially tied to global oil shocks. Parliament's April 2 rejection of New Caledonia status reforms drew Lecornu's pledge for follow-up talks next week, while he addressed rising anti-racism concerns. With no active no-confidence motions, focus turns to securing 2026 budget passage before year-end and managing coalition pressures in Macron's lame-duck phase.",
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