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Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
macron-out-in-2025
Volume
1.9M
24h volume
543
1w volume
50.8K
Open interest
71.3K
Liquidity
38.1K
Liquidity CLOB
38.1K
Start
Jan 3, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 3, 2025
Event ID
16263
Slug
macron-out-in-2025
Markets
3
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"ticker": "macron-out-in-2025",
"slug": "macron-out-in-2025",
"title": "Macron out by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
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"creationDate": "2025-01-03T19:35:04.095064Z",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z",
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"volume": 1894605.2342579996,
"openInterest": 71296.90035,
"createdAt": "2025-01-03T19:28:39.855536Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T00:26:28.793918Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron-out-in-2025-834-KqEqAsR_3Rtg.jpg",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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"createdAt": "2025-09-14T21:01:51.751915Z",
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"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
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"groupItemTitle": "June 30, 2026",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
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"volumeNum": 302760.95963199955,
"liquidityNum": 38641.60243,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-14",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 542.910787,
"volume1wk": 7533.914084,
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
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"question": "Macron out by October 31, 2025?",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/macron+tight+lip.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "205624.507422",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-06T20:46:32.644174Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:13.841261Z",
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"tags": [
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"slug": "france",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 00:21:54.303+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T00:21:54.404Z",
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{
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{
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"label": "Macron",
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:22:22.028419Z",
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{
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{
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"label": "2025 Predictions",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "French President Emmanuel Macron's minority government continues to navigate chronic instability in the hung National Assembly stemming from the 2024 snap legislative elections, with repeated no-confidence votes toppling cabinets, including Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's resignation in October 2025—though he later survived challenges. Approval ratings have hit record lows around 18% in early 2026 amid public frustration with political paralysis, prompting calls from opponents and even Macron's first prime minister for an early voluntary resignation to enable fresh leadership before his term ends in May 2027. No major developments, such as impeachment proceedings or snap elections, have emerged in the past 30 days; trader sentiment reflects high structural barriers to removal, with upcoming 2026 municipal elections potentially influencing coalition dynamics.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T00:19:01.741Z"
}
}