
Macron out by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
macron-out-in-2025
Volume
1.9M
24h volume
338
1w volume
50.2K
Open interest
71.3K
Liquidity
40.5K
Liquidity CLOB
40.5K
Start
Jan 3, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 3, 2025
Event ID
16263
Slug
macron-out-in-2025
Markets
3
Raw event data
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"slug": "macron-out-in-2025",
"title": "Macron out by...?",
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"context_description": "France's hung parliament, resulting from President Emmanuel Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections, continues to fuel political deadlock and reliance on Article 49.3 to pass legislation without a vote, as seen in the 2026 budget's adoption on February 2 after Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's government survived dual no-confidence motions from the far left and far right. Macron pledged in his January 1 address to serve his full term until May 2027, rejecting resignation calls amid constitutional barriers to early presidential removal like impeachment for high treason. Recent stability post-budget passage has tempered trader concerns over near-term exit risks before June 30, though persistent low approval ratings and potential future legislative battles or coalition shifts could influence sentiment.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T22:33:00.275Z"
}
}- Macron out by June 30, 2026?Vol 302.9KLiq 40.9KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
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