March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

{
  "id": "235047",
  "ticker": "march-2026-temperature-increase-c",
  "slug": "march-2026-temperature-increase-c",
  "title": "March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)",
  "description": "This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released.\n\nAn anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Mar\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).\n\nIf NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-02-28T00:23:39.399679Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-02-28T00:23:39.399667Z",
  "endDate": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 40101.912,
  "volume": 317950.5548960001,
  "openInterest": 68053.06944,
  "createdAt": "2026-02-27T19:13:22.322528Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T11:42:05.19281Z",
  "competitive": 0.925363853067026,
  "volume24hr": 34338.14856,
  "volume1wk": 107535.08146200002,
  "volume1mo": 261466.44304899996,
  "volume1yr": 317950.554896,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 40101.912,
  "negRisk": true,
  "negRiskMarketID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88700",
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1456111",
      "question": "Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x5cb624256dc39ac51e2a17745f9b190f5939ef063381b053ec3d9d7f2dd62997",
      "slug": "will-global-temperature-increase-by-between-1pt10c-and-1pt14c-in-march-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "12374.07936",
      "startDate": "2026-02-28T00:19:59.402051Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released.\n\nAn anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Mar\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).\n\nIf NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",
      "volume": "43402.47120800001",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-02-27T19:13:24.68114Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T11:43:45.370163Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "1.10–1.14ºC",
      "groupItemThreshold": "1",
      "questionID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88701",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 43402.47120800001,
      "liquidityNum": 12374.07936,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-10",
      "startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 5724.288666,
      "volume1wk": 16986.540303,
      "volume1mo": 38600.550661000016,
      "volume1yr": 43402.471208000024,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"105983354227543630674199776306234958282578854200100512278373324837877989905287\", \"56945232841090202944443287201211887288135791032924853050311411213623646100034\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 5724.288666,
      "volume1wkClob": 16986.540303,
      "volume1moClob": 38600.550661000016,
      "volume1yrClob": 43402.471208000024,
      "volumeClob": 43402.47120800001,
      "liquidityClob": 12374.07936,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88700",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x43c3b864e3822fb5c37bc52bd880458644a240c01a88120890f273e4e2682359",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T00:18:37Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8028773518535728,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.003,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0015,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0095,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.2155,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.004,
      "bestBid": 0.003,
      "bestAsk": 0.006,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-27T23:18:27.15324Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1456112",
      "question": "Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xec0ccadac9d0aba10f633086e4d5ee435b0178f5f556a10818c6ba104e242afa",
      "slug": "will-global-temperature-increase-by-between-1pt15c-and-1pt19c-in-march-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "7174.43759",
      "startDate": "2026-02-28T00:20:03.243241Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released.\n\nAn anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Mar\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).\n\nIf NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]",
      "volume": "69158.09143400009",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-02-27T19:13:25.367326Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T11:43:49.210156Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "1.15–1.19ºC",
      "groupItemThreshold": "2",
      "questionID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88702",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 69158.09143400009,
      "liquidityNum": 7174.43759,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-10",
      "startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 4303.928514,
      "volume1wk": 16779.920800000004,
      "volume1mo": 39970.841539999994,
      "volume1yr": 69158.09143400007,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"80519515578264787044195206551267906656241708068724877333229494349991660911170\", \"56842449310658357383009189565344334888988552279926010399963554849386316064201\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 4303.928514,
      "volume1wkClob": 16779.920800000004,
      "volume1moClob": 39970.841539999994,
      "volume1yrClob": 69158.09143400007,
      "volumeClob": 69158.09143400009,
      "liquidityClob": 7174.43759,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88700",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x874761529313903cdefe349c630880a3aeb588a03a86f5f0640d520e6b45b157",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T00:18:41Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8067051720490372,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.005,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0045,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0025,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0545,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.2345,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.012,
      "bestBid": 0.008,
      "bestAsk": 0.013,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-27T23:18:27.15461Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1456110",
      "question": "Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xb7cf86694fbbf1a4c5a544f8623a63b87400a73f05c78428dc29a176ddb51608",
      "slug": "will-global-temperature-increase-by-less-than-1pt10c-in-march-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "6554.33477",
      "startDate": "2026-02-28T00:19:59.147996Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released.\n\nAn anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Mar\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).\n\nIf NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",
      "volume": "40451.76427400002",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-02-27T19:13:24.127415Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T11:43:12.556737Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "<1.10ºC",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88700",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 40451.76427400002,
      "liquidityNum": 6554.33477,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-10",
      "startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 5286.398975,
      "volume1wk": 12825.743414000002,
      "volume1mo": 30909.344236,
      "volume1yr": 40451.76427399999,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"1699051882522761348775210852425000869439794589889394643135823501157870875921\", \"77904303896766451225450525088885169812963788962846689675272739657827402397673\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 5286.398975,
      "volume1wkClob": 12825.743414000002,
      "volume1moClob": 30909.344236,
      "volume1yrClob": 40451.76427399999,
      "volumeClob": 40451.76427400002,
      "liquidityClob": 6554.33477,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88700",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0xab7ef93ab2045d16527c88de4c95b7f1e55361f45e28dd9909104dd9f9b4f545",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T00:18:37Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8028773518535728,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.005,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0025,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.3205,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.007,
      "bestBid": 0.002,
      "bestAsk": 0.007,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-27T23:18:27.151106Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1456113",
      "question": "Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x3073420646809aba094329d79448a5320ab0a8a8c687b5697677d81d09a8dfe9",
      "slug": "will-global-temperature-increase-by-between-1pt20c-and-1pt24c-in-march-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "3465.84113",
      "startDate": "2026-02-28T00:20:24.989431Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released.\n\nAn anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Mar\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).\n\nIf NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.053\", \"0.947\"]",
      "volume": "56507.41346300003",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-02-27T19:13:25.940005Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T11:43:44.438221Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "1.20–1.24ºC",
      "groupItemThreshold": "3",
      "questionID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88703",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 56507.41346300003,
      "liquidityNum": 3465.84113,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-10",
      "startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 3369.760311,
      "volume1wk": 18473.066112000004,
      "volume1mo": 53356.16085999996,
      "volume1yr": 56507.41346299998,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"12234901739478140894225160101387137640808221417206679443720076499502111503060\", \"6137231372131782268597328752856234273334337405216757816294239544709203058172\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 3369.760311,
      "volume1wkClob": 18473.066112000004,
      "volume1moClob": 53356.16085999996,
      "volume1yrClob": 56507.41346299998,
      "volumeClob": 56507.41346300003,
      "liquidityClob": 3465.84113,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88700",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x216d4989ef8c67f6fda955051439c0861f8866a400beb38ec160fb6f853a891d",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T00:19:03Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8334659933372728,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.02,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0105,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.297,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.082,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.043,
      "bestBid": 0.043,
      "bestAsk": 0.063,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-27T23:18:27.15611Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1456114",
      "question": "Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x307d453a6c8b58c494aec592ed5a754aa6526ad5b0eb58a46208131913fe0f5e",
      "slug": "will-global-temperature-increase-by-between-1pt25c-and-1pt29c-in-march-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "3946.45485",
      "startDate": "2026-02-28T00:20:27.325383Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released.\n\nAn anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Mar\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).\n\nIf NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.79\", \"0.21\"]",
      "volume": "33690.97697399997",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-02-27T19:13:26.455261Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T11:43:40.375951Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "1.25–1.29ºC",
      "groupItemThreshold": "4",
      "questionID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88704",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 33690.97697399997,
      "liquidityNum": 3946.45485,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-10",
      "startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 1989.2533580000004,
      "volume1wk": 8566.673115999998,
      "volume1mo": 27313.04515900001,
      "volume1yr": 33690.976973999976,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"61929274874024202163473957580942605998570441314230837327192362962332626946502\", \"20109620474255672170847293636768060997686933731858913684171490835632281796124\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 1989.2533580000004,
      "volume1wkClob": 8566.673115999998,
      "volume1moClob": 27313.04515900001,
      "volume1yrClob": 33690.976973999976,
      "volumeClob": 33690.97697399997,
      "liquidityClob": 3946.45485,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88700",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0x46e15b7f6a72698a3240872d1f9115f7fd09baf6a62ee0dbdfe20b73186ed3b6",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T00:19:05Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9224241306152569,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.06,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.533,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0065,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.303,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.7335,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.76,
      "bestBid": 0.76,
      "bestAsk": 0.82,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-27T23:18:27.157523Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1456115",
      "question": "Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x95e134653ba9eeb91fbb46d3b6ec0d3eb943b4f90e5fd31f65a6fa50bc97e0a3",
      "slug": "will-global-temperature-increase-by-more-than-1pt29c-in-march-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "6978.14385",
      "startDate": "2026-02-28T00:20:37.413023Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/february-2025-temperature-increase-c-fr_fUwG_Bhn4.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2026 when it is released.\n\nAn anomaly within a named bracket for March 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for March 2026 is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius\" under the column \"Mar\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).\n\nIf NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.\nIf no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.1435\", \"0.8565\"]",
      "volume": "74867.16754299996",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-02-27T19:13:26.9674Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T11:44:16.595798Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": ">1.29ºC",
      "groupItemThreshold": "5",
      "questionID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88705",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 74867.16754299996,
      "liquidityNum": 6978.14385,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-10",
      "startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 13616.391066999999,
      "volume1wk": 34030.467717,
      "volume1mo": 71443.83059299996,
      "volume1yr": 74867.16754299996,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"38453061321327670403770077104374605830910647060330145502160860467830803598478\", \"68607338819672404862586907829036991109763217652433670238418989216756904968368\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 13616.391066999999,
      "volume1wkClob": 34030.467717,
      "volume1moClob": 71443.83059299996,
      "volume1yrClob": 74867.16754299996,
      "volumeClob": 74867.16754299996,
      "liquidityClob": 6978.14385,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": true,
      "negRiskMarketID": "0x1f3d42c0e25111f3fb8d219da545b0f7c6f52954fda0be13bd1eb4cdd1f88700",
      "negRiskRequestID": "0xdc5d5dc564bcde9c6f021165092f1fbf59b5d3ff57f8c873cd309a319a1486c9",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T00:19:15Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8872388218444409,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "106302",
          "conditionId": "0x95e134653ba9eeb91fbb46d3b6ec0d3eb943b4f90e5fd31f65a6fa50bc97e0a3",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-03-19",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.011,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.503,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0285,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0415,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.115,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.149,
      "bestBid": 0.138,
      "bestAsk": 0.149,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-27T23:18:27.15876Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10026",
      "ticker": "temperature-increase",
      "slug": "temperature-increase",
      "title": "Temperature Increase",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "monthly",
      "image": "https://services.meteored.com/img/article/the-heat-is-rising-with-climate-change-but-a-new-study-says-the-heat-index-is-rising-much-faster-1711300928899_1280.jpeg",
      "icon": "https://services.meteored.com/img/article/the-heat-is-rising-with-climate-change-but-a-new-study-says-the-heat-index-is-rising-much-faster-1711300928899_1280.jpeg",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "featured": false,
      "restricted": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-02-01T00:21:29.776168Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T11:41:03.236625Z",
      "volume24hr": 34338.14856,
      "volume": 317950.5548960001,
      "liquidity": 40101.912,
      "commentCount": 768,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "103037",
      "label": "Climate & Science",
      "slug": "climate-science",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-12-30T23:31:52.33537Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:44.49474Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "74",
      "label": "Science",
      "slug": "science",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.571503Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "84",
      "label": "Weather",
      "slug": "weather",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:17:34.814Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:58.564774Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": true,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "temperature-increase",
  "gmpChartMode": "default",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-27T22:34:49.398635Z",
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Preliminary analyses from Berkeley Earth and Copernicus ERA5 datasets position trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability for a March 2026 global surface temperature anomaly of 1.25–1.29°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline, reflecting near-finalized observations of sustained high anomalies amid neutral ENSO conditions transitioning from lingering La Niña effects. Record warmth dominated the U.S. Lower 48 states, with anomalies exceeding +3.7°C in satellite records for some regions, complemented by Arctic sea ice at a record March low, enhancing polar amplification. February's 1.49–1.55°C benchmark provided context for modest cooling, but no major downward revisions expected; NOAA's global land-ocean index confirmation due soon could finalize resolution amid inherent reanalysis uncertainties.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-07T11:34:57.416Z"
  }
}