Military action against Iran ends by...?

Name: Military action against Iran ends by...?
Start: 2026-03-27T18:15:53.647342Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
military-action-against-iran-ends-by-522
Volume
322.7K
24h volume
142.0K
1w volume
220.3K
Open interest
97.8K
Liquidity
109.6K
Liquidity CLOB
109.6K
Start
Mar 27, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 27, 2026
Event ID
303908
Slug
military-action-against-iran-ends-by-522
Markets
Tags
Middle East Israel x Iran Geopolitics Military Strikes Iran strike U.S. x Iran Politics
Raw event data
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Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Vol 65.3KLiq 7.9KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 22, 2026?
Vol 2.3KLiq 3.0KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?
Vol 2.3KLiq 4.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 21, 2026?
Vol 6.9KLiq 3.7KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026?
Vol 4.6KLiq 2.9KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Vol 1.6KLiq 4.8KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?
Vol 76.4KLiq 14.7KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 27, 2026?
Vol 2.4KLiq 4.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 23, 2026?
Vol 1.8KLiq 2.5KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?
Vol 11.9KLiq 5.0KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 26, 2026?
Vol 4.1KLiq 1.0KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 24, 2026?
Vol 3.5KLiq 1.3KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?
Vol 4.1KLiq 6.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 10, 2026?
Vol 7.7KLiq 8.9KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026?
Vol 8.7KLiq 7.0KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?
Vol 4.0KLiq 1.5KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?
Vol 12.0KLiq 6.8KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 20, 2026?
Vol 2.0KLiq 3.0KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
Vol 7.2KLiq 8.5KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?
Vol 15.3KLiq 2.8KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?
Vol 2.6KLiq 5.0KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 19, 2026?
Vol 5.8KLiq 5.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Military action against Iran ends by April 6, 2026?
Vol 14.0KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by April 8, 2026?
Vol 13.7KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by April 2, 2026?
Vol 11.4KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by April 1, 2026?
Vol 10.3KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by April 3, 2026?
Vol 8.2KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by April 4, 2026?
Vol 5.2KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by April 5, 2026?
Vol 3.9KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Military action against Iran ends by April 7, 2026?
Vol 3.6KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed