Named storm forms before hurricane season?

{
  "id": "97429",
  "ticker": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season-197",
  "slug": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season-197",
  "title": "Named storm forms before hurricane season?",
  "description": "The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.\n\nIf there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-12-04T20:35:15.954088Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-12-04T20:35:15.954084Z",
  "endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/named-storm-before-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-L5ZsQ43lEwsW.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/named-storm-before-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-L5ZsQ43lEwsW.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 2260.2911,
  "volume": 330245.1205240001,
  "openInterest": 2990.183823,
  "createdAt": "2025-12-04T20:09:36.473124Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T00:08:29.853094Z",
  "competitive": 0.9794079478954972,
  "volume24hr": 481.951024,
  "volume1wk": 3004.975096999999,
  "volume1mo": 42771.25503199997,
  "volume1yr": 330245.1205240002,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 2260.2911,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "823568",
      "question": "Named storm forms before hurricane season?",
      "conditionId": "0x3d9534e655c68bd1811bdb721704d7434c6ce214a69043e9e2c4a13c25db33f5",
      "slug": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season-197",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "2419.7164",
      "startDate": "2025-12-04T20:27:35.815438Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/named-storm-before-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-L5ZsQ43lEwsW.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/named-storm-before-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-L5ZsQ43lEwsW.jpg",
      "description": "The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.\n\nIf there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.35\", \"0.65\"]",
      "volume": "330245.1205240001",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-04T20:09:37.301356Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T00:11:26.370005Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x69c5cd9aac6105183b943b50c1ad01708c229667b6f33aaf1cee51689c18b469",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 330245.1205240001,
      "liquidityNum": 2419.7164,
      "endDateIso": "2026-05-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-04",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 481.951024,
      "volume1wk": 3004.975096999999,
      "volume1mo": 42771.25503199997,
      "volume1yr": 330245.1205240002,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"20600308170198957123987979219658132184209448612977764212098316654034298575953\", \"95242366937399208415473110958333281927436869963466438334270716517261639405981\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 481.951024,
      "volume1wkClob": 3004.975096999999,
      "volume1moClob": 42771.25503199997,
      "volume1yrClob": 330245.1205240002,
      "volumeClob": 330245.1205240001,
      "liquidityClob": 2419.7164,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-04T20:27:13Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9779951100244499,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "47451",
          "conditionId": "0x3d9534e655c68bd1811bdb721704d7434c6ce214a69043e9e2c4a13c25db33f5",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 3,
          "startDate": "2025-12-04",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.06,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.005,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.005,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.04,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.07,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.39,
      "bestBid": 0.32,
      "bestAsk": 0.38,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-04T20:12:15.472002Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10737",
      "ticker": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season",
      "slug": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season",
      "title": "Named storm forms before hurricane season",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "annual",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-12-04T20:09:45.750657Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T00:08:45.915797Z",
      "volume24hr": 481.951024,
      "volume": 330245.1205240001,
      "liquidity": 2260.2911,
      "commentCount": 0,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "101998",
      "label": "Natural Disaster",
      "slug": "natural-disaster",
      "createdAt": "2025-03-26T17:29:21.543627Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.763712Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "74",
      "label": "Science",
      "slug": "science",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.571503Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102023",
      "label": "hurricane",
      "slug": "hurricane",
      "createdAt": "2025-04-07T20:00:43.649061Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:46.731516Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "87",
      "label": "climate",
      "slug": "climate",
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:38.407+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:17:38.424Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.35922Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "84",
      "label": "Weather",
      "slug": "weather",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:17:34.814Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:58.564774Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories as of April 7, 2026, confirm no tropical cyclones or disturbances in the Atlantic basin, with Tropical Weather Outlook issuance paused until May 15 or as needed, signaling quiescent preseason conditions. Elevated vertical wind shear—typically 20-30 knots across the main development region—and sea surface temperatures below the 26.5°C threshold for sustained development inhibit early tropical cyclone genesis, per NOAA monitoring. These factors underpin the 64.5% market-implied probability for \"No,\" reflecting trader consensus on historical rarity (fewer than 25% of seasons feature pre-June 1 named storms) amid current atmospheric suppression. Forecast models show no near-term threats, though ENSO evolution could influence May odds; watch NHC updates for shifts.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-07T00:03:52.271Z"
  }
}