
Prediction market · Polymarket
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Ticker
peru-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place
Volume
411.9K
24h volume
160.6K
1w volume
315.7K
Open interest
61.2K
Liquidity
133.3K
Liquidity CLOB
133.3K
Start
Mar 20, 2026
End
Apr 12, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 20, 2026
Event ID
287711
Slug
peru-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place
Markets
48
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"context_description": "Conflicting exit polls from Peru's April 12 presidential first-round vote have fueled tight trader consensus for second place, with Rafael López Aliaga at 32.5%, Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 28.4%, and Jorge Nieto at 27.0% reflecting uncertainty behind presumed frontrunner Keiko Fujimori. Ipsos showed Sánchez second, Datum favored López Aliaga, and others highlighted Nieto amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates, where no one exceeded 17% and regional divides—right-wing strength in Lima for López Aliaga, left-leaning rural support for Sánchez of Juntos por el Perú, centrist appeal for Nieto's Buen Gobierno—split the anti-incumbent vote driven by corruption and crime concerns. Official ONPE quick counts expected midday April 13, plus actas from provinces and overseas ballots, could clarify the June 7 runoff challenger.",
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