SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

Name: SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
Start: 2025-07-16T19:44:25.578373Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities. The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.

Ticker

scotus-accepts-sports-event-contract-case-by-july-31-2026

Volume

932.7K

24h volume

513

1w volume

3.4K

Open interest

6.7K

Liquidity

10.7K

Liquidity CLOB

10.7K

Start

Jul 16, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jul 16, 2025

Event ID

32565

Slug

scotus-accepts-sports-event-contract-case-by-july-31-2026

Markets

Tags

Politics Prediction Markets legal Tech Courts Finance Supreme Court

Raw event data

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution around the Supreme Court granting certiorari by July 31 in a case over sports event contracts offered by platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, amid an emerging circuit split that bolsters prospects for review. The Sixth Circuit's February ruling in Tennessee granted Kalshi a preliminary injunction, deeming the contracts CFTC-regulated swaps exempt from state gambling laws, while the Ninth Circuit cleared Nevada to enforce a ban in February-March, rejecting preemption. Just days ago on April 2, the CFTC sued Connecticut, Arizona, and Illinois to assert exclusive federal jurisdiction, escalating over 20 state challenges. Full circuit appeals and certiorari petitions are imminent, with SCOTUS conferences ongoing through summer.",
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