Donald Trump announced a deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz of Tuesday, April 7, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/world/middleeast/trump-threat-strait-peace.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that this deadline has been extended or will not be enforced by Tuesday April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly state that the deadline has been extended or will not be enforced, including by providing a new deadline or through statements such as “the deadline has been moved back.” Broader statements, such as “we made good progress with Iran,” will qualify only if they are clearly and explicitly made in the context of an announcement that the deadline is being extended or not being enforced. If no qualifying announcement has been made by Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the deadline is enforced. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, including on his official social media accounts. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify a qualifying announcement.
Ticker
trump-announces-hormuz-deadline-extension-today
Volume
891.9K
24h volume
891.9K
1w volume
891.9K
Open interest
293.6K
Liquidity
48.7K
Liquidity CLOB
48.7K
Start
Apr 7, 2026
End
Apr 7, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 7, 2026
Event ID
354273
Slug
trump-announces-hormuz-deadline-extension-today
Markets
1
Tags
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"context_description": "President Trump's late Tuesday announcement of a two-week extension to his Strait of Hormuz deadline—contingent on Iran reopening the vital waterway—following a last-minute plea from Pakistan's prime minister, has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for a formal confirmation today. This marks the fourth such delay since the original March 23 ultimatum amid ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomacy, with no military escalation despite threats to target Iranian infrastructure. Reports from official statements and major outlets confirm the pause and conditional ceasefire, reflecting Trump's negotiation tactics. Realistic shifts remain possible via an unexpected retraction, Iranian non-compliance signals, or late-breaking diplomatic breakdowns before market resolution.",
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