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Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918. This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
Ticker
trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by
Volume
374.0K
24h volume
346.7K
1w volume
374.0K
Open interest
187.8K
Liquidity
131.9K
Liquidity CLOB
131.9K
Start
Apr 12, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 12, 2026
Event ID
372242
Slug
trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by
Markets
7
Raw event data
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}- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Vol 61Liq 9.5KEnd May 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Vol 47.3KLiq 20.1KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Vol 46.5KLiq 13.8KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Vol 19.5KLiq 13.9KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Vol 87.5KLiq 31.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?Vol 168.9KLiq 44.6KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 12, 2026?Vol 4.4KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed