Loading event…
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
On April 7–8, 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire aimed at halting direct hostilities and de-escalating the ongoing conflict. This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended or is no longer in effect by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must explicitly indicate that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended, been terminated, or is no longer in effect, or use equivalently definitive language clearly signaling the end of the ceasefire commitment. Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire, without an explicit declaration that the US is no longer committed to the ceasefire, will not alone qualify. Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify; only announcements that explicitly terminate the commitment to refrain from military hostilities will qualify. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
Ticker
trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by
Volume
426.4K
24h volume
422.6K
1w volume
426.4K
Open interest
258.2K
Liquidity
148.7K
Liquidity CLOB
148.7K
Start
Apr 8, 2026
End
Apr 21, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 8, 2026
Event ID
355299
Slug
trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by
Markets
6
Raw event data
{
"id": "355299",
"ticker": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",
"slug": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",
"title": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?",
"description": "On April 7–8, 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire aimed at halting direct hostilities and de-escalating the ongoing conflict.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended or is no longer in effect by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must explicitly indicate that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended, been terminated, or is no longer in effect, or use equivalently definitive language clearly signaling the end of the ceasefire commitment. \n\nStatements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire, without an explicit declaration that the US is no longer committed to the ceasefire, will not alone qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify; only announcements that explicitly terminate the commitment to refrain from military hostilities will qualify.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-04-08T17:12:10.874731Z",
"creationDate": "2026-04-08T17:12:10.874723Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-21T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 148667.11506,
"volume": 426415.2717499999,
"openInterest": 258177.64578200004,
"createdAt": "2026-04-07T22:29:25.663483Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-09T19:08:15.352867Z",
"competitive": 0.9596698735634942,
"volume24hr": 422564.65520699986,
"volume1wk": 426415.2717499999,
"volume1mo": 426415.2717499999,
"volume1yr": 426415.2717499999,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 148667.11506,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 23,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1912773",
"question": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x02f5a047fbad390edaed349f8499f6f7ad8a80bd28db4f7d54a21d65df2cd122",
"slug": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-end-by-april-10-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "40496.79895",
"startDate": "2026-04-08T17:09:35.678011Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"description": "On April 7–8, 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire aimed at halting direct hostilities and de-escalating the ongoing conflict.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended or is no longer in effect by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must explicitly indicate that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended, been terminated, or is no longer in effect, or use equivalently definitive language clearly signaling the end of the ceasefire commitment. \n\nStatements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire, without an explicit declaration that the US is no longer committed to the ceasefire, will not alone qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify; only announcements that explicitly terminate the commitment to refrain from military hostilities will qualify.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]",
"volume": "188333.85660899992",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-07T22:29:26.53721Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-09T19:07:46.303124Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 10",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x824bcd9cbd7dda17196b1e37421f77b2e42105be97e63906ffbad42e1e804689",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 188333.85660899992,
"liquidityNum": 40496.79895,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-10",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 187732.3897079999,
"volume1wk": 188333.85660899992,
"volume1mo": 188333.85660899992,
"volume1yr": 188333.85660899992,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"70503352867721796492186776520185470871467133988334688560290911260006561148752\", \"16079234275136923402553655164089741627324895587173745673844425930808341006131\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 187732.3897079999,
"volume1wkClob": 188333.85660899992,
"volume1moClob": 188333.85660899992,
"volume1yrClob": 188333.85660899992,
"volumeClob": 188333.85660899992,
"liquidityClob": 40496.79895,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:08:31Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8228448048870399,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "143653",
"conditionId": "0x02f5a047fbad390edaed349f8499f6f7ad8a80bd28db4f7d54a21d65df2cd122",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 100,
"startDate": "2026-04-08",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.008,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.109,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.0045,
"lastTradePrice": 0.04,
"bestBid": 0.032,
"bestAsk": 0.04,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:07:14.883354Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1912775",
"question": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x46f15cb064fb468e39de360f14f5847898ef9b1489d15e9df702b92f1836598d",
"slug": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-end-by-april-15-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-15T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "25407.7085",
"startDate": "2026-04-08T17:09:35.171725Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"description": "On April 7–8, 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire aimed at halting direct hostilities and de-escalating the ongoing conflict.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended or is no longer in effect by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must explicitly indicate that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended, been terminated, or is no longer in effect, or use equivalently definitive language clearly signaling the end of the ceasefire commitment. \n\nStatements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire, without an explicit declaration that the US is no longer committed to the ceasefire, will not alone qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify; only announcements that explicitly terminate the commitment to refrain from military hostilities will qualify.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",
"volume": "31622.85676799999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-07T22:29:27.192426Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-09T19:07:43.243107Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 15",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x2ff8f5c4dfba26b0fe9a619097636cc4de809db5768517fba6246ce5ef05ec67",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 31622.85676799999,
"liquidityNum": 25407.7085,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-15",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 31541.461423000004,
"volume1wk": 31622.856768,
"volume1mo": 31622.856768,
"volume1yr": 31622.856768,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"43964465588355491014448214222590512425943686732900948158402327543908418174654\", \"114287585311778857115083813427759840745018872722490656872825833172005678080444\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 31541.461423000004,
"volume1wkClob": 31622.856768,
"volume1moClob": 31622.856768,
"volume1yrClob": 31622.856768,
"volumeClob": 31622.85676799999,
"liquidityClob": 25407.7085,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:08:31Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8767123287671234,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "143657",
"conditionId": "0x46f15cb064fb468e39de360f14f5847898ef9b1489d15e9df702b92f1836598d",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 100,
"startDate": "2026-04-08",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.16,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.01,
"lastTradePrice": 0.14,
"bestBid": 0.12,
"bestAsk": 0.13,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:07:14.880152Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1912777",
"question": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xdb7886829f415e00ab97b695a28b5747c6bce1f8ab09635a51ec6480e5d50314",
"slug": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-end-by-april-21-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-21T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "16897.6771",
"startDate": "2026-04-08T17:09:31.135666Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"description": "On April 7–8, 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire aimed at halting direct hostilities and de-escalating the ongoing conflict.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended or is no longer in effect by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must explicitly indicate that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended, been terminated, or is no longer in effect, or use equivalently definitive language clearly signaling the end of the ceasefire commitment. \n\nStatements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire, without an explicit declaration that the US is no longer committed to the ceasefire, will not alone qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify; only announcements that explicitly terminate the commitment to refrain from military hostilities will qualify.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",
"volume": "51302.70802499998",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-07T22:29:27.812339Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-09T19:07:39.34172Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 21",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0x6ce9b88267fad5611e2454c507e31e84a6f2a30839aef0dbd69dff962badcdb0",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 51302.70802499998,
"liquidityNum": 16897.6771,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-21",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 50589.813416999954,
"volume1wk": 51302.70802499995,
"volume1mo": 51302.70802499995,
"volume1yr": 51302.70802499995,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"1616166182541724838676329828640054929140786650156260222032609831711838834618\", \"44148400918255027460169829794105372031583974422891403100989244724009059962806\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 50589.813416999954,
"volume1wkClob": 51302.70802499995,
"volume1moClob": 51302.70802499995,
"volume1yrClob": 51302.70802499995,
"volumeClob": 51302.70802499998,
"liquidityClob": 16897.6771,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:08:27Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9596698735634942,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "143656",
"conditionId": "0xdb7886829f415e00ab97b695a28b5747c6bce1f8ab09635a51ec6480e5d50314",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 100,
"startDate": "2026-04-08",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.045,
"lastTradePrice": 0.3,
"bestBid": 0.29,
"bestAsk": 0.3,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:07:14.877902Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1912772",
"question": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 8, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xa2fc7ad04414ad58b0d122558de5e8784c38a024a038cc08de54fd8a9cebb1ef",
"slug": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-end-by-april-8-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-08T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-08T17:09:33.386486Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"description": "On April 7–8, 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire aimed at halting direct hostilities and de-escalating the ongoing conflict.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended or is no longer in effect by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must explicitly indicate that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended, been terminated, or is no longer in effect, or use equivalently definitive language clearly signaling the end of the ceasefire commitment. \n\nStatements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire, without an explicit declaration that the US is no longer committed to the ceasefire, will not alone qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify; only announcements that explicitly terminate the commitment to refrain from military hostilities will qualify.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "38220.34864499999",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-07T22:29:26.052957Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-09T19:06:03.2569Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-09 07:01:13+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 8",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xc7d45b9920dd4d3cac8d8ba74fbcf0ebb84ebfcf3d5b24feac61ea49deb25267",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-09T07:01:13Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 38220.34864499999,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-08",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 35809.75960500001,
"volume1wk": 38220.348645000005,
"volume1mo": 38220.348645000005,
"volume1yr": 38220.348645000005,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"7846258725401085219449460122914047588069562961821697744163918873096144360390\", \"19466454725329421446354156515155377128551437854823837288810056515024881415609\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 35809.75960500001,
"volume1wkClob": 38220.348645000005,
"volume1moClob": 38220.348645000005,
"volume1yrClob": 38220.348645000005,
"volumeClob": 38220.34864499999,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:08:29Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0015,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:07:14.888474Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1912774",
"question": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xf8d9cd66b6243209edf9312b14701622f64578e17e1f2eb678f24819433d7619",
"slug": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-end-by-april-12-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-12T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "34672.7657",
"startDate": "2026-04-08T17:09:33.133393Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"description": "On April 7–8, 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire aimed at halting direct hostilities and de-escalating the ongoing conflict.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended or is no longer in effect by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must explicitly indicate that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended, been terminated, or is no longer in effect, or use equivalently definitive language clearly signaling the end of the ceasefire commitment. \n\nStatements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire, without an explicit declaration that the US is no longer committed to the ceasefire, will not alone qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify; only announcements that explicitly terminate the commitment to refrain from military hostilities will qualify.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",
"volume": "90476.46985300002",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-07T22:29:26.875899Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-09T19:07:43.248515Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 12",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x0ddf829304d436130824fccb07d05c24fce069f43afd3bcfe9a1654bf977fb9c",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 90476.46985300002,
"liquidityNum": 34672.7657,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-12",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 90416.852888,
"volume1wk": 90476.46985299999,
"volume1mo": 90476.46985299999,
"volume1yr": 90476.46985299999,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"24983138239335016025209190393463415373723199366042906236608570498864093654427\", \"76076619069393417782034699127584651454784201764721841069077449037268285150158\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 90416.852888,
"volume1wkClob": 90476.46985299999,
"volume1moClob": 90476.46985299999,
"volume1yrClob": 90476.46985299999,
"volumeClob": 90476.46985300002,
"liquidityClob": 34672.7657,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:08:29Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8439530762089628,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "143654",
"conditionId": "0xf8d9cd66b6243209edf9312b14701622f64578e17e1f2eb678f24819433d7619",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 100,
"startDate": "2026-04-08",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.02,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.175,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.08,
"bestBid": 0.06,
"bestAsk": 0.08,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:07:14.879085Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1912776",
"question": "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xd81f611670339738cb6ac259b94a54b5b08e372f19c063a8ad6fb2a8c7fe3ed8",
"slug": "trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-end-by-april-18-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-18T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "11426.6888",
"startDate": "2026-04-08T17:09:35.42489Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-whfIPnAiyzWX.jpg",
"description": "On April 7–8, 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire aimed at halting direct hostilities and de-escalating the ongoing conflict.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended or is no longer in effect by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must explicitly indicate that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran has ended, been terminated, or is no longer in effect, or use equivalently definitive language clearly signaling the end of the ceasefire commitment. \n\nStatements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire, without an explicit declaration that the US is no longer committed to the ceasefire, will not alone qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a halt in direct military engagement between the United States and Iran will not qualify; only announcements that explicitly terminate the commitment to refrain from military hostilities will qualify.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.17\", \"0.83\"]",
"volume": "38730.37875799999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-07T22:29:27.500481Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-09T19:08:01.76012Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 18",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x4b7df81a2c4039efe05470edf3ccb5e718798b7baef052d68546d01e1f7e2987",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 38730.37875799999,
"liquidityNum": 11426.6888,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-18",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 38624.823206,
"volume1wk": 38730.378758,
"volume1mo": 38730.378758,
"volume1yr": 38730.378758,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"79964293069461530040675500711708428263953703716506263160033361693864205796730\", \"107540464629530264353956874968191669084587642048441756557746727604039054478859\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 38624.823206,
"volume1wkClob": 38730.378758,
"volume1moClob": 38730.378758,
"volume1yrClob": 38730.378758,
"volumeClob": 38730.37875799999,
"liquidityClob": 11426.6888,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:08:31Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9017945711966814,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "143655",
"conditionId": "0xd81f611670339738cb6ac259b94a54b5b08e372f19c063a8ad6fb2a8c7fe3ed8",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 100,
"startDate": "2026-04-08",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.02,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.11,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.02,
"lastTradePrice": 0.19,
"bestBid": 0.16,
"bestAsk": 0.18,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T17:07:14.884594Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "104010",
"label": "Iran Ceasefire",
"slug": "diplomacy-ceasefire",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T19:58:33.637952Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-25T01:00:00.556226Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "154",
"label": "Middle East",
"slug": "middle-east",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.104846Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "126",
"label": "Trump",
"slug": "trump",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:01.330974Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104039",
"label": "U.S. x Iran",
"slug": "trump-iran",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T20:09:15.156731Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:43.535987Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
"slug": "iran",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.117508Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "President Trump announced a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran on April 7, 2026, averting escalation ahead of his self-imposed deadline and paving the way for negotiations in Islamabad starting Friday, with Iran agreeing to temporarily reopen the Strait of Hormuz. In the past 48 hours, Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon have intensified, prompting UN warnings of \"grave risk\" to the truce and Iranian accusations of violations, while Trump issued fresh threats on social media. Traders weigh diplomatic progress against these strains, potential proxy escalations, and oil market volatility as factors that could prompt an early end announcement before the April 21 deadline.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-09T19:04:10.860Z"
}
}- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Vol 51.3KLiq 16.9KEnd Apr 21, 2026OpenOrder book
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Vol 38.7KLiq 11.4KEnd Apr 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Vol 31.6KLiq 25.4KEnd Apr 15, 2026OpenOrder book
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Vol 90.5KLiq 34.7KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Vol 188.3KLiq 40.5KEnd Apr 10, 2026OpenOrder book
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 8, 2026?Vol 38.2KLiq —End Apr 8, 2026Closed