
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
trump-out-as-president-by-june-30
Volume
2.2M
24h volume
85.2K
1w volume
439.0K
Open interest
1.2M
Liquidity
455.1K
Liquidity CLOB
455.1K
Start
Mar 11, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 11, 2026
Event ID
261273
Slug
trump-out-as-president-by-june-30
Markets
1
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"ticker": "trump-out",
"slug": "trump-out",
"title": "Trump out",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus prices \"No\" at 94.5¢ on President Trump leaving office by June 30, reflecting the slim prospects for impeachment conviction or resignation amid a Republican Senate majority that blocks the two-thirds threshold needed for removal. Recent House resolutions like H.Res.939 calling for impeachment over foreign policy have advanced little, stalled by partisan divides, while Trump's April 6 press conference reiterated firm deadlines on Iran negotiations without signs of instability. Ongoing tensions with Iran, including threats to infrastructure and economic pressures, have fueled Democratic calls and 25th Amendment speculation, but no Cabinet action or health issues have materialized. Midterm elections loom in November, yet the next three months show no scheduled votes or catalysts poised to shift the balance before resolution.",
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