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UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Chris Padilla" if Chris Padilla is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Ticker
ufc-chr52-mar83-2026-04-11
Volume
948.1K
24h volume
941.0K
1w volume
948.1K
Open interest
753.1K
Liquidity
2.3M
Liquidity CLOB
2.3M
Start
Apr 7, 2026
End
Apr 12, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 7, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/events
Event ID
355210
Slug
ufc-chr52-mar83-2026-04-11
Markets
9
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Chris Padilla rides a four-fight UFC win streak into the UFC 327 lightweight early prelims against MarQuel Mederos, capped by a second-round TKO of Ismael Bonfim in November 2025 via punishing punches, bolstering his reputation for mid-fight adjustments and knockout power. Mederos, undefeated at 3-0 in the Octagon since his 2023 Dana White's Contender Series contract, brings explosive striking but returns from a 10-month layoff with a shorter 69.5-inch reach against Padilla's 74 inches. Padilla's weigh-in miss at 158 pounds yesterday—forcing a catchweight and 20% purse forfeiture—introduces cut-related fatigue risks despite his edge in experience, while Mederos eyes an upset in Miami's Kaseya Center.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-12T01:33:30.792Z"
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"createdAt": "2025-11-03T18:43:54.169027Z",
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}- Fight to Go the Distance?Vol 3.9KLiq 242.8KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- O/U 1.5 RoundsVol 1.9KLiq 213.9KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- O/U 2.5 RoundsVol 1.6KLiq 213.0KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- O/U 0.5 RoundsVol 1.4KLiq 213.4KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)Vol 938.7KLiq 721.0KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Chris Padilla win by KO or TKO?Vol 381Liq 228.8KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the fight be won by submission?Vol 144Liq 208.1KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Vol 136Liq 212.9KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will MarQuel Mederos win by KO or TKO?Vol 80Liq 208.5KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book