
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31
Volume
575.0K
24h volume
26.6K
1w volume
82.8K
Open interest
31.5K
Liquidity
14.9K
Liquidity CLOB
14.9K
Start
Mar 3, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 3, 2026
Event ID
244047
Slug
us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31
Markets
2
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"title": "US announces military support of Kurds by...?",
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"context_description": "Amid escalating US-Israel tensions with Iran, early March 2026 reports revealed CIA consultations with Iranian Kurdish militias in Iraq about arming them for potential cross-border operations, prompting trader optimism for an official US military support announcement. President Trump publicly praised the Kurds' \"wonderful\" offensive and pledged backing, but a reported US-Israeli plan for Kurdish incursions collapsed by March 29 due to leaks and distrust. A recent Trump statement criticized Kurds for retaining arms meant for Iranian protesters, signaling hesitancy. No formal announcement has materialized, while in Syria, US troop drawdowns have pressured Syrian Democratic Forces amid advances by Turkish-backed Syrian troops. Traders monitor for diplomatic shifts or escalation signals ahead of potential policy deadlines.",
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