US announces military support of Kurds by...?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31

Volume

575.1K

24h volume

26.1K

1w volume

82.9K

Open interest

31.5K

Liquidity

14.6K

Liquidity CLOB

14.6K

Start

Mar 3, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 3, 2026

Event ID

244047

Slug

us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31

Markets

2

Raw event data
{
  "id": "244047",
  "ticker": "us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31",
  "slug": "us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31",
  "title": "US announces military support of Kurds by...?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.\n\nFor confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.\n\nInformal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.\n \nFor the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-03-03T22:18:09.508461Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-03T22:18:09.50845Z",
  "endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-confirm-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31-5KPF10cfg4Gg.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-confirm-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31-5KPF10cfg4Gg.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 14638.36129,
  "volume": 575061.3475540009,
  "openInterest": 31466.377345,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-03T18:36:53.19763Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T00:32:57.002337Z",
  "competitive": 0.856991842937391,
  "volume24hr": 26094.617041999994,
  "volume1wk": 82858.41444,
  "volume1mo": 82861.862714,
  "volume1yr": 82861.862714,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 14638.36129,
  "negRisk": false,
  "commentCount": 65,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1493939",
      "question": "US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?",
      "conditionId": "0x9a40c58ffda1c02eec35f58107bd69bd30cb3d367f1755c0512bbde5abeb9d4b",
      "slug": "us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2026-03-03T22:15:59.09Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-confirm-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31-5KPF10cfg4Gg.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-confirm-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31-5KPF10cfg4Gg.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.\n\nFor confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.\n\nInformal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.\n \nFor the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "volume": "492199.48484000086",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-03T18:36:54.600487Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-02T09:46:18.055803Z",
      "closedTime": "2026-04-01 10:04:53+00",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "March 31",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xf8553edec8a972ca1d35311986b4674ed5e249c2c1ec96d32dc5dacb7b3f74b5",
      "umaEndDate": "2026-04-01T10:04:53Z",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
      "volumeNum": 492199.48484000086,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-03",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"16227544559776963884490503566905671476474324564342062343949278946230102275948\", \"77125551615616645499045567834219963942711041631127610407012712709180412256494\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volumeClob": 492199.48484000086,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-03T22:14:53Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.001,
      "automaticallyResolved": true,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.001,
      "bestAsk": 0.001,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-03T22:13:39.251654Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1763610",
      "question": "US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?",
      "conditionId": "0xe051d1d70197f7e493c9c2421b8352f5c1be856c5ceea5014a461e8a7581b5c2",
      "slug": "us-announces-military-support-of-kurds-in-iran-by-april-30",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "14623.62699",
      "startDate": "2026-03-28T17:25:01.835523Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-confirm-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31-5KPF10cfg4Gg.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-us-confirm-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31-5KPF10cfg4Gg.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President.\n\nFor confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.\n\nInformal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered.\n \nFor the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0935\", \"0.9065\"]",
      "volume": "82900.76271400005",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-28T17:20:30.106921Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T00:33:22.430653Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "April 30",
      "groupItemThreshold": "1",
      "questionID": "0x6cf6aa708f67bb7f1e0e17aa78fed08975b87a379050ed525778f57bd206f01d",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 82900.76271400005,
      "liquidityNum": 14623.62699,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-28",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 26048.523658999995,
      "volume1wk": 82897.31444,
      "volume1mo": 82900.762714,
      "volume1yr": 82900.762714,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"13703677084433240180427122463020613342295220875189558844491524739839557957517\", \"62917675950777934769512860462891828658144993645862656073292383218669577284751\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 26048.523658999995,
      "volume1wkClob": 82897.31444,
      "volume1moClob": 82900.762714,
      "volume1yrClob": 82900.762714,
      "volumeClob": 82900.76271400005,
      "liquidityClob": 14623.62699,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-28T17:23:55Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.858190646623052,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.013,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0645,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0085,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0865,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.087,
      "bestBid": 0.087,
      "bestAsk": 0.1,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-28T17:22:41.1829Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "104071",
      "label": "Kurdish",
      "slug": "kurdish",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-03T18:36:53.90366Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:24.348536Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "78",
      "label": "Iran",
      "slug": "iran",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.117508Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "126",
      "label": "Trump",
      "slug": "trump",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:01.330974Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "154",
      "label": "Middle East",
      "slug": "middle-east",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.104846Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101926",
      "label": "Kurds",
      "slug": "kurds",
      "createdAt": "2025-02-27T22:49:16.87685Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:58.47814Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104039",
      "label": "U.S. x Iran",
      "slug": "trump-iran",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2026-03-02T20:09:15.156731Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:43.535987Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104005",
      "label": "Iran Regime",
      "slug": "iranian-leadership-regime",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2026-03-02T19:48:14.400431Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:27:23.402244Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "gmpChartMode": "default",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "estimateValue": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Amid escalating US-Israel military actions against Iran since late February, early March reports indicated US outreach to Kurdish groups in Iran and Iraq, including discussions of air support and arms for potential operations to divert Iranian forces. The White House denied formal approval of arming Kurds, while assuring Turkey of no plans to insert them into the conflict; Turkish officials echoed this. No official announcement has occurred by early April, reflecting diplomatic restraint amid alliance tensions and de-escalation signals in Syria, where US support for Kurdish forces waned in January. Traders monitor ongoing airstrikes, troop deployments to the Middle East, and coalition negotiations for shifts in policy.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-07T00:32:56.474Z"
  }
}