
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31
Volume
575.1K
24h volume
26.1K
1w volume
82.9K
Open interest
31.5K
Liquidity
14.6K
Liquidity CLOB
14.6K
Start
Mar 3, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 3, 2026
Event ID
244047
Slug
us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31
Markets
2
Raw event data
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"title": "US announces military support of Kurds by...?",
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"context_description": "Amid escalating US-Israel military actions against Iran since late February, early March reports indicated US outreach to Kurdish groups in Iran and Iraq, including discussions of air support and arms for potential operations to divert Iranian forces. The White House denied formal approval of arming Kurds, while assuring Turkey of no plans to insert them into the conflict; Turkish officials echoed this. No official announcement has occurred by early April, reflecting diplomatic restraint amid alliance tensions and de-escalation signals in Syria, where US support for Kurdish forces waned in January. Traders monitor ongoing airstrikes, troop deployments to the Middle East, and coalition negotiations for shifts in policy.",
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}- US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?Vol 82.9KLiq 14.6KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Vol 492.2KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed