
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit. A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
us-escorts-commercial-ship-through-hormuz-by-march-31
Volume
2.9M
24h volume
49.0K
1w volume
532.9K
Open interest
366.2K
Liquidity
114.5K
Liquidity CLOB
114.5K
Start
Mar 11, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 11, 2026
Event ID
259755
Slug
us-escorts-commercial-ship-through-hormuz-by-march-31
Markets
3
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