US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit. A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

us-escorts-commercial-ship-through-hormuz-by-march-31

Volume

2.9M

24h volume

61.4K

1w volume

544.0K

Open interest

374.8K

Liquidity

102.7K

Liquidity CLOB

102.7K

Start

Mar 11, 2026

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 11, 2026

Event ID

259755

Slug

us-escorts-commercial-ship-through-hormuz-by-march-31

Markets

3

Raw event data
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  "title": "US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?",
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