
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31
Volume
388.4K
24h volume
242
1w volume
8.3K
Open interest
13.7K
Liquidity
17.6K
Liquidity CLOB
17.6K
Start
Jul 23, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 23, 2025
Event ID
33685
Slug
will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31
Markets
2
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"context_description": "Israeli government measures in the occupied West Bank, including the February 2026 cabinet approval to register vast areas as state land unless Palestinians prove ownership, have intensified de facto control through settlement expansion and property enforcement, prompting UN experts and nearly 20 countries to condemn them as unlawful annexation steps. Recent reports highlight accelerated displacement from settler violence, with Israel's energy minister framing policies as \"de facto sovereignty\" just days ago. No formal Knesset legislation extending sovereignty—as with past Golan Heights or East Jerusalem annexations—has advanced, amid U.S. opposition under President Trump and diplomatic pressures. Upcoming policy deadlines and coalition dynamics could influence escalation before December 31, though structural barriers persist.",
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