
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31
Volume
403.7K
24h volume
497
1w volume
18.5K
Open interest
15.3K
Liquidity
44.5K
Liquidity CLOB
44.5K
Start
Jul 23, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 23, 2025
Event ID
33685
Slug
will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31
Markets
3
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"context_description": "Israel's government has intensified West Bank settlement activity, approving a record 34 new outposts on April 9—the largest single authorization ever—amid the fog of regional conflicts, totaling 103 expansions since taking office. This follows a quiet March registration of roughly 16% of West Bank land as state property, the first such mechanism since 1967, and a UN Human Rights report citing accelerated settlement-driven displacement of over 36,000 Palestinians. Far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich continues advocating formal sovereignty application, though no Knesset law has passed. US statements under President Trump oppose annexation, while EU and UN condemnations mount; traders watch for cabinet or legislative moves before any resolution date.",
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