Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31

Volume

388.4K

24h volume

242

1w volume

8.3K

Open interest

13.7K

Liquidity

14.2K

Liquidity CLOB

14.2K

Start

Jul 23, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2025

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jul 23, 2025

Event ID

33685

Slug

will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31

Markets

2

Raw event data
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    "context_description": "Israeli government measures in the occupied West Bank, including the February 2026 cabinet approval to register vast areas as state land unless Palestinians prove ownership, have intensified de facto control through settlement expansion and property enforcement, prompting UN experts and nearly 20 countries to condemn them as unlawful annexation steps. Recent reports highlight accelerated displacement from settler violence, with Israel's energy minister framing policies as \"de facto sovereignty\" just days ago. No formal Knesset legislation extending sovereignty—as with past Golan Heights or East Jerusalem annexations—has advanced, amid U.S. opposition under President Trump and diplomatic pressures. Upcoming policy deadlines and coalition dynamics could influence escalation before December 31, though structural barriers persist.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:33:37.926Z"
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