
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31
Volume
512.4K
24h volume
531
1w volume
72.1K
Open interest
4.8K
Liquidity
5.0K
Liquidity CLOB
5.0K
Start
Oct 19, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 19, 2025
Event ID
61890
Slug
will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31
Markets
5
{
"id": "61890",
"ticker": "will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",
"slug": "will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",
"title": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"major ground offensive\" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-10-19T19:13:45.872545Z",
"creationDate": "2025-10-19T19:13:45.872541Z",
"endDate": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-MOKIcK-3c-fq.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-MOKIcK-3c-fq.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 4978.4096,
"volume": 512351.60561699927,
"openInterest": 4753.539532000001,
"createdAt": "2025-10-19T19:03:36.450511Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T23:34:38.702814Z",
"competitive": 0.9996001599360256,
"volume24hr": 531.4640079999999,
"volume1wk": 72063.41170700002,
"volume1mo": 148550.49178100002,
"volume1yr": 186495.438182,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 4978.4096,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 8,
"markets": [
{
"id": "639929",
"question": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?",
"conditionId": "0xa7cd4199e78bb90d407cdc1174fae15bdf79754073b24ee337cb680bf3a89436",
"slug": "will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-december-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2025-10-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2025-10-19T19:11:34.518362Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-hFPYVMlPMqeR.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-hFPYVMlPMqeR.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"major ground offensive\" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "50689.76716",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-19T19:06:05.844686Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:49:16.579854Z",
"closedTime": "2026-01-01 17:53:31+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "December 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xd9ac4e1145dc413d62d5c07e3ad71eac5db089fb1f6704f1f7bb2f8f3237ff34",
"umaEndDate": "2026-01-01T17:53:31Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 50689.76716,
"endDateIso": "2025-10-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-19",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 3750.0434000000005,
"volume1mo": 12744.820759000002,
"volume1yr": 50689.767159999996,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"40224562074592522957728690942061841511047244891176119896325824902396314779203\", \"15966778248776008631365712995802589338539699815426914497397873095118130687983\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 3750.0434000000005,
"volume1moClob": 12744.820759000002,
"volume1yrClob": 50689.767159999996,
"volumeClob": 50689.76716,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-19T19:11:13Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0075,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0015,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0135,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0725,
"lastTradePrice": 1,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-19T19:10:44.215343Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "639928",
"question": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?",
"conditionId": "0x3e86f4b3e8cc3f64be00ada95b3d7b1104dfe43acc3aab97e581d72b00407e79",
"slug": "will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2025-10-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2025-10-19T19:11:32.587847Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-hFPYVMlPMqeR.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-hFPYVMlPMqeR.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"major ground offensive\" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "100196.595126",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-19T19:03:37.234019Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:49:16.524004Z",
"closedTime": "2025-11-01 07:39:48+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": " October 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x53595985fde58f4c34649dced4dae9f0ef427cc8afa67630f49842b575d57c9c",
"umaEndDate": "2025-11-01T07:39:48Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 100196.595126,
"endDateIso": "2025-10-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-19",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 55781.43220100001,
"volume1mo": 100196.59512600001,
"volume1yr": 100196.59512600001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"17345795364796853142949832006270474705374264533541837086928092593379631230783\", \"83778646494192631116950657541044197541063141014376134543683632879314034549538\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 55781.43220100001,
"volume1moClob": 100196.59512600001,
"volume1yrClob": 100196.59512600001,
"volumeClob": 100196.595126,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-19T19:11:11Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "38730",
"conditionId": "0x3e86f4b3e8cc3f64be00ada95b3d7b1104dfe43acc3aab97e581d72b00407e79",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2025-10-19",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.003,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.007,
"lastTradePrice": 1,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-19T19:10:44.21656Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "677398",
"question": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x47732c74e3976b7eee2a5204765eeae5ec0d448439317bd0eb70e134140db68b",
"slug": "will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-march-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2025-10-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T23:10:39.568662Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-hFPYVMlPMqeR.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-hFPYVMlPMqeR.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"major ground offensive\" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "325856.16743499925",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-11T22:45:04.99471Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-02T12:30:32.18885Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-01 12:48:45+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 31, 2026",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xfc547ea2ba9b065720c25eaf094292f77ba601c4bc972ae0e61c3ca6ce9364c0",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-01T12:48:45Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 325856.16743499925,
"endDateIso": "2025-10-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"27467662346185458402122059614019312067879491594882775778860896649257920548490\", \"52353973528365811276392446063075140438993786645495861389994739489824894018825\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 325856.16743499925,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T23:10:18Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.015,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.07,
"lastTradePrice": 0.004,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T22:51:34.434961Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1642010",
"question": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?",
"conditionId": "0x1c39f29a392495da86a9d1882bdb7ad82bd617990a6da16674e1ee3da105e9e6",
"slug": "will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-december-31-828",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2025-10-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "2769.4129",
"startDate": "2026-03-18T18:56:33.174734Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-hFPYVMlPMqeR.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-hFPYVMlPMqeR.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"major ground offensive\" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]",
"volume": "18250.290422",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-18T18:53:42.920707Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T23:33:21.136032Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "December 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xf9b1adbb96dcc09366aa7ed753503fb40c544a996c910b3a09d5bb3b83a45039",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 18250.290422,
"liquidityNum": 2769.4129,
"endDateIso": "2025-10-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-18",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 70.052564,
"volume1wk": 4636.458028000001,
"volume1mo": 18250.290422,
"volume1yr": 18250.290422,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"54321071530548266672166878707765766594100313888586165986698245613205332870724\", \"56333782793421950483875833119080130897195447801211249547040559909421499481715\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 70.052564,
"volume1wkClob": 4636.458028000001,
"volume1moClob": 18250.290422,
"volume1yrClob": 18250.290422,
"volumeClob": 18250.290422,
"liquidityClob": 2769.4129,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-18T18:55:27Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9996001599360256,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "106623",
"conditionId": "0x1c39f29a392495da86a9d1882bdb7ad82bd617990a6da16674e1ee3da105e9e6",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 10,
"startDate": "2026-03-19",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.14,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.065,
"lastTradePrice": 0.46,
"bestBid": 0.45,
"bestAsk": 0.59,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-18T18:54:14.720523Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1642009",
"question": "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?",
"conditionId": "0xf15f4253eace2d74c88936cd63906abda4ff4bbf98e20cf799ba45cf6afc55e9",
"slug": "will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-june-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2025-10-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "2327.8534",
"startDate": "2026-03-18T18:56:34.145428Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-hFPYVMlPMqeR.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31-hFPYVMlPMqeR.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"major ground offensive\" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.275\", \"0.725\"]",
"volume": "17358.785474",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-18T18:53:07.570335Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T23:34:12.824742Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "June 30",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x69b4b2ffc845cd1bd457f45a59baae52869512f61299ff9430ae5e471e1822ab",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 17358.785474,
"liquidityNum": 2327.8534,
"endDateIso": "2025-10-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-18",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 461.41144399999996,
"volume1wk": 7895.478077999999,
"volume1mo": 17358.785474000004,
"volume1yr": 17358.785474000004,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"75346936063969571190620358863735703777657300721118724660441519247622515981794\", \"102119753884173712975890715930153670065225317269011973013399631357327449722798\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 461.41144399999996,
"volume1wkClob": 7895.478077999999,
"volume1moClob": 17358.785474000004,
"volume1yrClob": 17358.785474000004,
"volumeClob": 17358.785474,
"liquidityClob": 2327.8534,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-18T18:55:29Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9518143961927424,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "106626",
"conditionId": "0xf15f4253eace2d74c88936cd63906abda4ff4bbf98e20cf799ba45cf6afc55e9",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 10,
"startDate": "2026-03-19",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.07,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.035,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.01,
"lastTradePrice": 0.41,
"bestBid": 0.24,
"bestAsk": 0.31,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-18T18:54:14.719346Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "180",
"label": "Israel",
"slug": "israel",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:31:07.395Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:27:02.801468Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101970",
"label": "World",
"slug": "world",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.420693Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "154",
"label": "Middle East",
"slug": "middle-east",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.104846Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "61",
"label": "Gaza",
"slug": "gaza",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:15:21.229+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:15:21.233Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:24.515234Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "A fragile ceasefire in Gaza, marking six months since October 2025, has held amid over 2,000 reported Israeli violations including airstrikes and gunfire near military zones, as documented by Gaza authorities up to March 2026. Israel maintains targeted operations in residual Hamas strongholds without escalating to a major ground offensive like the September 2025 Gaza City incursion, prioritizing hostage releases and Hamas disarmament deadlines. Recent U.S.-brokered talks face strain from regional escalations, such as Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon on April 14, while traders assess ceasefire collapse risks versus diplomatic progress that could avert renewed invasion amid ongoing Iran tensions.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-14T22:34:15.744Z"
}
}