
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31
Volume
499.8K
24h volume
135
1w volume
61.7K
Open interest
5.2K
Liquidity
5.3K
Liquidity CLOB
5.3K
Start
Oct 19, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 19, 2025
Event ID
61890
Slug
will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31
Markets
5
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