Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31

Volume

499.8K

24h volume

4

1w volume

59.9K

Open interest

5.1K

Liquidity

6.1K

Liquidity CLOB

6.1K

Start

Oct 19, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2025

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Oct 19, 2025

Event ID

61890

Slug

will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31

Markets

5

Raw event data
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