
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-venezuela-in-2025
Volume
1.2M
1w volume
68.5K
Open interest
43.5K
Liquidity
38.7K
Liquidity CLOB
38.7K
Start
Dec 15, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 15, 2025
Event ID
105695
Slug
will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-venezuela-in-2025
Markets
2
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "US-Venezuela tensions peaked with a US military operation on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges amid debates over the War Powers Resolution, but Congress has not pursued a formal declaration of war—last used in World War II—and instead advanced measures to limit further executive military action. Recent de-escalation includes the US lifting sanctions on interim Venezuelan leadership on April 1, normalizing diplomatic relations on April 4, and resuming embassy operations in Caracas by late March, signaling trader consensus on reduced conflict risk. No upcoming congressional votes or escalatory signals appear on the horizon, underscoring structural barriers to war authorization amid improving bilateral ties.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-14T08:33:44.721Z"
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