
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-venezuela-in-2025
Volume
1.2M
24h volume
81
1w volume
72.6K
Open interest
43.0K
Liquidity
39.2K
Liquidity CLOB
39.2K
Start
Dec 15, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 15, 2025
Event ID
105695
Slug
will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-venezuela-in-2025
Markets
2
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{
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{
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"context_description": "US military strikes on January 3, 2026, captured Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in a rapid operation dubbed \"Absolute Resolve,\" prompting congressional war powers resolutions and bills like the Prohibiting Unauthorized Military Action in Venezuela Act to curb escalation without explicit authorization. No formal declaration of war has followed, as President Trump's administration frames it as a limited extraction yielding oil \"spoils,\" avoiding broader conflict amid bipartisan pushback. Recent de-escalation includes the US lifting sanctions on acting President Delcy Rodríguez on April 1 and today's joint government-opposition request for a 45-day pause in US asset seizures, signaling normalization of bilateral relations and diminishing prospects for congressional war approval before any market deadline. Traders weigh ongoing congressional oversight and diplomatic thaw against geopolitical risks like oil disputes.",
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