Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-venezuela-in-2025

Volume

1.2M

24h volume

81

1w volume

72.6K

Open interest

43.0K

Liquidity

39.7K

Liquidity CLOB

39.7K

Start

Dec 15, 2025

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 15, 2025

Event ID

105695

Slug

will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-venezuela-in-2025

Markets

2

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?",
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    {
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Despite U.S. military strikes on January 3, 2026, that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges—framed by the Trump administration as a law enforcement operation—Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war, which requires explicit legislative authorization under Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution. The Senate recently advanced a bipartisan war powers resolution to halt further unilateral military action without approval, reflecting pushback against executive overreach. Diplomatic ties with Venezuela's interim government resumed in March, including embassy reopening and sanction relief, fostering de-escalation amid oil sector cooperation talks. Traders weigh congressional constraints and bilateral progress against risks from political instability or renewed tensions, with no scheduled votes or summits imminent.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T22:33:36.001Z"
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