
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-venezuela-in-2025
Volume
1.2M
24h volume
81
1w volume
72.6K
Open interest
43.0K
Liquidity
39.7K
Liquidity CLOB
39.7K
Start
Dec 15, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 15, 2025
Event ID
105695
Slug
will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-venezuela-in-2025
Markets
2
Raw event data
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{
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{
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"context_description": "Despite U.S. military strikes on January 3, 2026, that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges—framed by the Trump administration as a law enforcement operation—Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war, which requires explicit legislative authorization under Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution. The Senate recently advanced a bipartisan war powers resolution to halt further unilateral military action without approval, reflecting pushback against executive overreach. Diplomatic ties with Venezuela's interim government resumed in March, including embassy reopening and sanction relief, fostering de-escalation amid oil sector cooperation talks. Traders weigh congressional constraints and bilateral progress against risks from political instability or renewed tensions, with no scheduled votes or summits imminent.",
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}- Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?Vol 468.8KLiq 39.7KEnd Dec 31, 2025OpenOrder book
- Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?Vol 765.4KLiq —End Dec 31, 2025Closed