
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Ticker
will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026
Volume
653.1K
24h volume
1.0K
1w volume
13.3K
Open interest
174.2K
Liquidity
50.2K
Liquidity CLOB
50.2K
Start
Jul 25, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 25, 2025
Event ID
34348
Slug
will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026
Markets
1
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"title": "Impeachment",
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"context_description": "Republican control of the House with a slim 219-212 majority blocks impeachment proceedings, stalling Democratic resolutions like H.Res.939—introduced December 2025 by Rep. Al Green and referred to Judiciary without votes—and H.Res.353 from earlier in the session. Recent polls indicate 52% voter support for impeachment, driven by Iran tensions, 25th Amendment calls, and March \"No Kings\" protests, but House Democrats have rejected fast-tracking amid midterm focus. The November 3, 2026, elections offer Democrats a path to majority, yet new Congress convenes January 2027, leaving minimal lame-duck time before year-end resolution. Traders' 88.5% \"No\" consensus aligns with these structural hurdles and precedent from Trump's prior impeachments lacking Senate conviction.",
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