Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

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    "context_description": "Republican control of the House, with a majority sufficient to block impeachment articles, drives the 87.5% implied probability against President Trump facing impeachment by December 31, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on procedural barriers. Recent Democratic calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation—sparked by Trump's April statements on Iran threats and formalized in Rep. John Larson's articles filed around April 7—have met resistance from party leadership like Hakeem Jeffries, who prioritize the November 2026 midterms for potential House flips. Even a Democratic House gain would face a tight timeline for floor votes and near-impossible Senate supermajority for conviction, amid historical precedent of Trump's two prior acquittals. Declassifications vindicating his 2019 Ukraine impeachment further dampen momentum.",
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