
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Ticker
will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026
Volume
653.1K
24h volume
1.0K
1w volume
13.3K
Open interest
174.2K
Liquidity
50.2K
Liquidity CLOB
50.2K
Start
Jul 25, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 25, 2025
Event ID
34348
Slug
will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Republican control of the House of Representatives, requiring a simple majority to pass articles of impeachment, underpins the 88.5% trader consensus against President Trump facing impeachment by year's end. Recent Democratic resolutions like H.Res. 353 and 939, introduced amid tensions over Trump's Easter message to Iran and escalating U.S.-Iran rhetoric, have garnered no committee advancement or GOP defections. House Democratic leaders, per Punchbowl News reporting, urge restraint to avoid political backlash ahead of 2026 midterms, where a flip remains speculative and new Congress convenes January 2027—post-resolution. Absent a major scandal or bipartisan revolt, structural barriers favor the status quo.",
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}- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Vol 653.1KLiq 50.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book