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Prediction market · Polymarket
Rules:
Ticker
will-vance-visit-the-middle-east-by
Volume
425.4K
24h volume
166.6K
1w volume
290.1K
Open interest
69.0K
Liquidity
10.5K
Liquidity CLOB
10.5K
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 24, 2026
Event ID
304418
Slug
will-vance-visit-the-middle-east-by
Markets
2
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"id": "304418",
"ticker": "will-vance-visit-the-middle-east-by",
"slug": "will-vance-visit-the-middle-east-by",
"title": "Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?",
"description": "Rules:",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-03-24T21:35:28.061332Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-24T21:35:28.061326Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-vance-visit-greenland-before-july-XbjU8i-aAZHf.jpg",
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"createdAt": "2026-03-24T20:47:45.770981Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-10T20:30:54.703852Z",
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"enableOrderBook": true,
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"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 207,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1708555",
"question": "Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?",
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"slug": "will-vance-visit-the-middle-east-by-march-31",
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"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
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"description": "If U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance visits the Greater Middle East between market creation and the listed date and 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Greater Middle East refers to the region comprising Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Oman, Yemen, Turkey, Afghanistan, and Pakistan.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of a listed country. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Vance or released by his verified social media accounts, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-24T21:31:15Z",
"cyom": false,
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"rewardsMinSize": 100,
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"spread": 0.001,
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{
"id": "1709080",
"question": "Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?",
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"slug": "will-vance-visit-the-middle-east-by-april-10",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "11172.76371",
"startDate": "2026-03-24T21:33:39.758573Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-vance-visit-greenland-before-july-XbjU8i-aAZHf.jpg",
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"description": "If U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance visits the Greater Middle East between market creation and the listed date and 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the Greater Middle East refers to the region comprising Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Oman, Yemen, Turkey, Afghanistan, and Pakistan.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of a listed country. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Vance or released by his verified social media accounts, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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"liquidityNum": 11172.76371,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-24",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
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"tags": [
{
"id": "104039",
"label": "U.S. x Iran",
"slug": "trump-iran",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T20:09:15.156731Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:43.535987Z",
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{
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"label": "Geopolitics",
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{
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{
"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
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{
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:01.330974Z",
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{
"id": "104010",
"label": "Iran Ceasefire",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Vice President JD Vance departed Joint Base Andrews on April 10 for Pakistan to lead high-level US-Iran negotiations on extending a fragile two-week ceasefire, demanding an end to Tehran's nuclear program and reopening the Strait of Hormuz after recent US strikes on Iranian targets. Traders weigh whether this trip—hosted in neutral Pakistan, outside standard Middle East boundaries—or rumored extensions to Israel or Lebanon will resolve the market by day's end, amid Vance's warnings of escalation absent good-faith talks. Recent deadlines set by President Trump prompted the truce, with Vance expressing optimism for de-escalation; prior Vance travel focused on Europe, including Hungary, with no confirmed regional visits this month. Outcome hinges on itinerary details and official announcements.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-10T20:20:23.248Z"
}
}