
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
xi-jinping-out-by
Volume
1.7M
24h volume
7.1K
1w volume
58.9K
Open interest
301.4K
Liquidity
92.3K
Liquidity CLOB
92.3K
Start
Dec 17, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 17, 2025
Event ID
107711
Slug
xi-jinping-out-by
Markets
1
Tags
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"title": "Xi Jinping out by June 30?",
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"resolutionSource": "",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nCCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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"id": "10150",
"ticker": "xi-jinping-out",
"slug": "xi-jinping-out",
"title": "Xi Jinping out",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "monthly",
"image": "",
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"createdAt": "2025-07-03T20:26:34.992616Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:28:43.557328Z",
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"tags": [
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"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
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"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Xi Jinping will remain in power as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China, President, and Chairman of the Central Military Commission through June 30, 2026, driven by his ongoing consolidation of authority amid deepening anti-corruption purges. Recent ousters of a Politburo member and top generals in March-April 2026 underscore Xi's unchallenged control over party and military elites, with no credible reports of health issues, coups, or factional challenges emerging in official channels. Public engagements, including policy directives and preparations for an early April Trump-Xi summit, further affirm his stability. Realistic shifts would require sudden events like a severe health crisis or elite rebellion, though purges have minimized such risks.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:18:20.931Z"
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}