
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
xi-jinping-out-by
Volume
1.8M
24h volume
8.4K
1w volume
52.0K
Open interest
307.3K
Liquidity
71.2K
Liquidity CLOB
71.2K
Start
Dec 17, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 17, 2025
Event ID
107711
Slug
xi-jinping-out-by
Markets
1
Tags
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"id": "10150",
"ticker": "xi-jinping-out",
"slug": "xi-jinping-out",
"title": "Xi Jinping out",
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"recurrence": "monthly",
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"createdAt": "2025-07-03T20:26:34.992616Z",
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"tags": [
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"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
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"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Chinese President Xi Jinping's entrenched position as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China, reinforced by early 2026 military purges targeting top generals like Zhang Youxia, underpins trader consensus at 98.3% against his removal by June 30. Recent diplomatic engagements—including meetings with Taiwan's opposition Kuomintang chair on April 10, pledges for closer ties with Spain and Arab states this week, and a planned summit with Vietnam's leader—demonstrate his active leadership with no signs of instability or health issues from credible reports. Absent the 2027 Party Congress, no structural mechanisms exist for near-term transition. Scenarios like a sudden health crisis or elite faction revolt could shift odds, though institutional controls and surveillance make them improbable.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-14T05:03:02.417Z"
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}