Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

xi-jinping-out-by

Volume

1.7M

24h volume

6.9K

1w volume

58.8K

Open interest

301.6K

Liquidity

92.8K

Liquidity CLOB

92.8K

Start

Dec 17, 2025

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 17, 2025

Event ID

107711

Slug

xi-jinping-out-by

Markets

1

Raw event data
{
  "id": "107711",
  "ticker": "xi-jinping-out-by",
  "slug": "xi-jinping-out-by",
  "title": "Xi Jinping out by June 30?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nCCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-12-17T22:35:23.212822Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-12-17T22:35:23.212812Z",
  "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/xi-jinping-out-in-2025-EjF4SM20eaa3.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/xi-jinping-out-in-2025-EjF4SM20eaa3.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 92757.56123,
  "volume": 1744098.7831400062,
  "openInterest": 301639.593571,
  "createdAt": "2025-12-17T19:59:35.383845Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-06T21:07:51.320351Z",
  "competitive": 0.8133777871406599,
  "volume24hr": 6928.915396000002,
  "volume1wk": 58839.118105,
  "volume1mo": 311952.8518720003,
  "volume1yr": 1744098.7831400053,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 92757.56123,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "956370",
      "question": "Xi Jinping out by June 30?",
      "conditionId": "0x4ba35ccd015e3899f323b7b0bcb38ecab3a3c0fafc397666e690ba301fbeff30",
      "slug": "xi-jinping-out-by",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "92755.23123",
      "startDate": "2025-12-17T22:34:14.904154Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/xi-jinping-out-in-2025-EjF4SM20eaa3.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/xi-jinping-out-in-2025-EjF4SM20eaa3.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nCCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.021\", \"0.979\"]",
      "volume": "1744098.7831400062",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-17T19:59:36.290146Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-06T21:07:40.600371Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x16c3b48e4e496379d10025ab89c8112b4729f7653b5a96651968471a9a817379",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 1744098.7831400062,
      "liquidityNum": 92755.23123,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-17",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 6928.915396000002,
      "volume1wk": 58839.118105,
      "volume1mo": 311952.8518720003,
      "volume1yr": 1744098.7831400053,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"31883462749119556388086799399919753637232555218950340228250860473714993542724\", \"83880982683889885965133727500100095351145396204583518599800736520025739660868\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 6928.915396000002,
      "volume1wkClob": 58839.118105,
      "volume1moClob": 311952.8518720003,
      "volume1yrClob": 1744098.7831400053,
      "volumeClob": 1744098.7831400062,
      "liquidityClob": 92755.23123,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-17T22:33:51Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8133777871406599,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.002,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0045,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0135,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.022,
      "bestBid": 0.02,
      "bestAsk": 0.022,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-17T22:33:19.463045Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10150",
      "ticker": "xi-jinping-out",
      "slug": "xi-jinping-out",
      "title": "Xi Jinping out",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "monthly",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "featured": false,
      "restricted": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-07-03T20:26:34.992616Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-06T21:08:00.747573Z",
      "volume24hr": 17537.494742000003,
      "volume": 9509715.065526707,
      "liquidity": 246148.36255,
      "commentCount": 747,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.420693Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "xi-jinping-out",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus heavily favors Xi Jinping remaining in power through June 30, reflecting his unchallenged dominance as paramount leader of the Chinese Communist Party, reinforced by recent public activities including calls for accelerated new energy development on April 6 and outreach to Taiwan leaders. Ongoing military and elite purges—such as those targeting top generals in February-March—signal continued consolidation rather than vulnerability, with no credible reports of health issues, resignation signals, or Politburo Standing Committee fractures. Absent a sudden health crisis, coup, or major scandal, the absence of scheduled leadership transitions until the 2027 Party Congress underpins this near-certain pricing.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T20:02:33.706Z"
  }
}