Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Ticker

bill-clinton-divorce-by-june-30

Volume

97.1K

Open interest

14.8K

Liquidity

11.2K

Liquidity CLOB

11.2K

Start

Dec 19, 2025

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 19, 2025

Event ID

112405

Slug

bill-clinton-divorce-by-june-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no divorce for former President Bill Clinton by June 30, driven by the complete absence of any official announcements, legal filings, or credible public indications of marital separation from either Bill or Hillary Clinton. Their 50-year marriage has endured past scandals, including recent March 2026 House Oversight Committee depositions on Jeffrey Epstein ties, without strain signals. At advanced ages—Bill 79, Hillary 78—such personal stability aligns with historical patterns for long-term political couples. While late-breaking revelations, health events, or sudden personal decisions could shift dynamics, no catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:20:57.021Z"
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