Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

dutch-house-of-representatives-dissolved-in-2026

Volume

9.8K

24h volume

174

1w volume

797

Open interest

5.1K

Liquidity

7.2K

Liquidity CLOB

7.2K

Start

Jan 28, 2026

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jan 28, 2026

Event ID

190771

Slug

dutch-house-of-representatives-dissolved-in-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?",
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      "question": "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?",
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  "commentCount": 7,
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T17:53:51.910Z",
    "context_description": "The Jetten minority cabinet—comprising D66, VVD, and CDA with 66 seats in the House of Representatives elected October 2025—has stabilized since its February 23, 2026, inauguration, driving trader consensus toward \"No\" dissolution at 78.5% implied probability. Despite lacking a majority and facing opposition criticism over energy prices, tax hikes like Box 3 reforms, and budget disputes, no no-confidence motion has secured the 76 votes needed to topple it. Provincial elections in March 2026 weakened left-wing challengers, fragmenting opposition unity, while the government navigated initial policy debates. With a full term projected to 2029, traders view another snap election as unlikely absent a major crisis, though upcoming spring budget votes pose risks.",
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