FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

fisa-section-702-reauthorized-before-it-expires

Volume

23.3K

24h volume

6.0K

1w volume

13.6K

Open interest

4.5K

Liquidity

13.2K

Liquidity CLOB

13.2K

Start

Mar 27, 2026

End

Apr 19, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 27, 2026

Event ID

307821

Slug

fisa-section-702-reauthorized-before-it-expires

Markets

1

Raw event data
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    "context_description": "House Republican leaders struggle to muster votes for a clean 18-month reauthorization of FISA Section 702 ahead of its April 20 statutory expiration, as privacy-focused GOP holdouts demand warrant requirements for U.S. person queries amid documented FBI compliance failures. Recent House Rules Committee approval of a closed rule blocking amendments, coupled with delayed floor votes pushed to this week, underscores procedural hurdles and factional splits in the narrow majority, fueling trader consensus at 89.5% against passage despite urgent intelligence community warnings of collection gaps, President Trump's calls for unity, and Senate backing from Sen. Grassley. FISA Court certifications sustain surveillance operations through March 2027 regardless.",
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