Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31

Volume

4.0M

24h volume

473

1w volume

1.6M

Open interest

12.4K

Liquidity

3.1K

Liquidity CLOB

3.1K

Start

Oct 10, 2025

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Oct 10, 2025

Event ID

57057

Slug

israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31

Markets

7

Raw event data
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